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Cantor starts Redwire at Buy, cites strong demand

Published 02/02/2024, 08:06 AM
Updated 02/02/2024, 08:16 AM
© Reuters.

On Friday, Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage of Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW), a company that plays a significant role in the burgeoning space industry, with an Overweight rating and a 12-month price target of $5.00. Redwire, known for manufacturing and supplying foundational technology for space infrastructure, has been recognized for its diverse product offerings and customer base, as well as its geographical reach.

The firm's optimism about Redwire is grounded in the company's substantial order pipeline and growing contracted awards, which are seen as a testament to the company's solid position in the high-growth space sector. Redwire's portfolio includes power-generation systems, solar arrays, avionics, antennas, star trackers, sensors, and cameras, among other products.

In the third quarter of 2023, Redwire reported revenues of approximately $65 million and secured $46.5 million in contracted awards. These awards are a measure of the firm-funded contracts that have been signed but not yet executed. Redwire has been successful in securing around 40% of the contracts it has bid for since 2021, which is viewed as a positive sign of the company's competitiveness.

Furthermore, Redwire's contracted backlog has seen a year-over-year increase of about 60%, with total contracted awards reaching $253.4 million by the third quarter of 2023. The company has also submitted proposals worth $714 million in the first three quarters and boasts a pipeline of approximately $4.5 billion.

The book-to-bill ratio, which is an indicator of demand within the industry, was reported at 0.74x for the third quarter of 2023. This ratio has shown an upward trend from 1.13 in 2021 to 2.04 in 2022, signaling growing demand for Redwire's space products. The firm projects a book-to-bill ratio of 0.79 for 2024.

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According to Cantor Fitzgerald's analysis, Redwire is expected to continue to secure significant contracts. The firm estimates that Redwire will report $54.7 million in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2023 and forecasts $276.8 million in revenue for the full year 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

As Redwire Corporation (NYSE:RDW) garners attention with its Overweight rating from Cantor Fitzgerald, it's insightful to look at comparable metrics from another player in the technology sector, Guidewire Software (NYSE:GWRE). Guidewire, while not in the space industry, provides software solutions to the insurance sector and offers a snapshot of financial health and market sentiment that can be indicative of tech companies navigating high-growth industries.

InvestingPro data shows that Guidewire has a market capitalization of $9.31 billion, reflecting a significant presence in its market. Despite a challenging period, with a negative P/E ratio of -133.09 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company's revenue growth remains positive at 8.97%. This suggests that while profitability has been elusive, the company is expanding its top-line results.

Guidewire's stock has also experienced a strong return over the last three months, with a price total return of 26.31%. This performance is complemented by an InvestingPro Tip that notes the stock generally trades with low price volatility, which could appeal to investors looking for steadier growth prospects in their tech holdings.

Furthermore, Guidewire's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a solid liquidity position that can reassure investors of the company's ability to meet its immediate financial commitments. This is particularly relevant given that another InvestingPro Tip highlights that the company operates with a moderate level of debt, balancing leverage with financial prudence.

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For those interested in deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights on Guidewire, including 12 more InvestingPro Tips that can help investors make informed decisions. The InvestingPro subscription is currently available on a special New Year sale with a discount of up to 50%. To further enrich your investment strategy, use coupon code SFY24 to get an additional 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription, or SFY241 to get an additional 10% off a 1-year InvestingPro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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