Get 40% Off
🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March.Read full update

Bumper U.S. earnings, China stimulus hopes keep world shares at one-week high

Published 08/08/2018, 05:01 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk past the London Stock Exchange Group offices in the City of London, Britain

By Sujata Rao

LONDON (Reuters) - World shares held near one-week highs on Wednesday, supported by robust U.S. earnings and expectations of additional stimulus from Beijing that could temper the impact of China's simmering trade dispute with the United States.

U.S. equities now stand less than half a percent off record highs hit in January, testifying to the strength of the world's biggest economy and corporate sector, which has seen average earnings grow 23 percent in the second quarter.

The picture in the rest of the world is less rosy, given slower economic momentum and the greater vulnerability of other big economies - from China to Germany - to U.S. trade levies. Washington is preparing to start collecting tariffs on an additional $16 billion in Chinese goods.

But for now many markets, especially in Asia, are supported by the U.S. tech rally that recently saw iPhone maker Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) become the world's first $1 trillion company.

MSCI's index of stocks from 47 countries was marginally higher while Asian equities (MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.3 percent, led by tech-heavy Taiwan <.MITW00000PUS>. Japan's Nikkei ticked up 0.4 percent.

"Everyone is just focusing on U.S. earnings... and feeling the U.S. market will remain robust despite trade uncertainties, and that's the main driver right now," said Christophe Barraud, a strategist at Paris-based brokerage Market Securities.

Barraud said autumn could bring a reality check in the form of slower U.S. growth indicators, Italian politics, Britain's Brexit negotiations with the European Union, U.S. mid-term elections and - above all - the risk of trade war escalation.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"Support from U.S. earnings could last until the end of August and when people are back in September they will focus more on other events....(The trade war) is not a short-term conflict about a trade deficit but a longer-term story."

Indeed, support from company earnings is less evident elsewhere -- a raft of weak results pushed European shares to trade just below flat.

Average European second quarter earnings growth is running at 9.9 percent, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S, healthy but significantly lagging Wall Street.

Chinese equities meanwhile fell 0.4 percent as news of the additional U.S. tariffs overshadowed strong trade data that showed exports rose more than expected in July. A rise in imports also suggested Chinese domestic demand remains resilient.

Trade fears were tempered somewhat by signs Beijing is unveiling further measures to support growth, such as increasing infrastructure spending and tweaking its monetary policy stance.. That lifted the yuan further off recent 15-month lows to the dollar.

Chotaro Morita, a strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said Beijing's policy support was "starting to give some support to other major markets".

But he predicted the impact would be limited. "The reason they have to do so is escalating trade tensions so you can't expect much upside."

S&P500 equity futures indicated a flat Wall Street opening.

BREXIT AND STERLING

While most currency markets were relatively calm, sterling came under renewed pressure, falling to 11-month lows against the euro, dollar and yen.

Its woes stem from mounting concerns that Britain could crash out of the European Union without a trade deal in place, raising fears of a serious hit to the economy. With the government still far off agreeing an exit deal with Brussels, currency traders are increasingly edgy.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Market players said they were seeing increasing moves by investors to hedge sterling risks.

"A lot of companies can't wait until the (Brexit) outcome is clear... Many of them are trying to hedge against a drop in sterling," Barraud of Market Securities said.

Elsewhere the dollar's recent mini-rally appeared to have run out of steam, offering some respite to most emerging currencies including the yuan. The Turkish lira, the biggest mover in recent days, fell another 0.7 percent, though it stayed well off recent record lows

On oil markets, Brent futures held firm around $75 a barrel as U.S. sanctions on Iranian goods went into effect, intensifying concerns of looming crude supply shortages.

Brent is up 2 percent this week.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.