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Global stocks strain for record high on tantalising trade hopes

Published 11/27/2019, 04:38 AM
Updated 11/27/2019, 04:38 AM
© Reuters. The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain

By Marc Jones

LONDON (Reuters) - World shares made another push for an elusive record high on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington and Beijing were in the final throes of inking an initial trade deal.

Early European trading was relatively subdued, with MSCI's all-country world index now within 0.4% of its record high from January 2018 but lacking any real urgency.

London, Frankfurt and Paris were all inching higher, (EU) Shanghai struggled after industrial company profits shrank while Australian shares had hit record highs and Japanese stocks drew support from the growing chance of extra fiscal stimulus.

A senior Japanese ruling party official said on Wednesday he believed the government was striving to compile a supportive spending package worth about 10 trillion yen ($92 billion).

"Something will come out of the phase one (Sino-U.S. trade) talks," said TD Securities Senior Global Strategist James Rossiter. "Rolling back tariffs to where they were in August with the December ones put on hold or cancelled maybe."

But he said the two countries were unlikely to go beyond that and China's industrial profits data overnight underscored the economic strain.

In the currency markets, the dollar was broadly stronger against developed and emerging currencies, with dollar/yen holding above 109 and euro/dollar steady. [FRX/]

That was despite softer-than-expected U.S. economic data on Tuesday which showed a fourth straight monthly contraction in consumer confidence and an unexpected drop in new home sales in October.

Sterling

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The reaction to the poll narrowing has been modest as the prospect of another hung parliament raises the prospect of some form of coalition government made up of parties supporting a second Brexit referendum.

Kay Van-Petersen, global macro strategist at Saxo Capital Markets in Singapore, said while Sino-U.S. trade headlines may be driving some tactical, near-term moves in the market, they were mostly just "noise".

The broader market direction is "about the accommodative Fed and accommodative monetary policy and the fact that structurally the meta-trend is still lower in yields and rates," he said.

Some analysts said a renewed fall in U.S. and European bond yields on Tuesday also pointed to more mechanical explanations beyond trade for rising equity prices.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Monday that monetary policy was "well positioned" to support the strong U.S. labour market.

In emerging markets, traders were keeping a close eye on Brazil's real, which hit a record low below the troughs hit during the deep recession of 2015 and despite ongoing central bank intervention.

Among the main commodities, oil prices edged lower after hitting their highest since late September on the reassuring trade headlines. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (CLc1) was down 0.21% at $58.29 per barrel. Global benchmark Brent crude (LCOc1) lost 0.11% to $64.20 per barrel.

Traditional safe-haven gold changed hands at $1,458.33 per ounce on the spot market

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Latest comments

Trump say we have tremendous good deal with china.... trump say we solve issues with china.... trump say we have good phone call with china. ... trump say.... trump say... which one is trump did? NOTHING
he did pump up the market.....
He DID put China into a strategic advantage by dumping from TPP.
He DID use our farmers as pawns for a personal agenda.
Hope hope hope hope. DOWNFALL, when the hope fades.
So, after China said THIS: "China attacks U.S. at G20 as the world's biggest source of instability,. Economy.  Nov 23, 2019 07:28AM ET" ------------ you guys still think that China will sign a deal happily that is "close" enough for the stock market to have a VALID REASON to rise for other things than just jacking it up to a higher level to start shorting from ?? -- Now China is ganging up with Trump on the US 'investor' / stock market. ---- Why does not China devalue again?? That would crash this market into some real solid mass and drive the bubbly excesses out of it. --- The mom & pop investors do wish to buy at uninflated prices, please !!
The stock market is the only place on earth where "hope" is equivalent to billions of fake money. Everything about Trump is fake: the news, his words, the mood, the apparent charisma, the so-called self-made success and money he claims to have, all is fake except his conning of people, that is real. And the media and Wall Street lap it up with big smiles ear to ear.
It ain't over until the fat lady sings. Next week she will sing after Trump signs the bills from Senate about HK, as far as I know he will time until Saturday to sign it. USA as a leader of the free world It can't look away about HK as they did in Yemen and they still doing it.
In "Gold In Downtrend Channel But May Trim Losses. By Helen Rush15 hours ago (Nov 26, 2019 10:57AM ET). Helen Rush said: Gold prices dipped to two-week lows on Tuesday after four days of losses. The bullion received support around the $1,451 level and bounced slightly, >>>>>>>>as investor optimism seems to be waning early in Europe. In the weekly charts, the picture remains bearish amid the lingering hopes for striking a so-called interim trade deal between the US and China.<<<<<<<<<<<".  ------------- So, now, Trump, acting on his own, as usual, can't hold his mouthpiece and against advice from his advisors has to attract attention at all cost? Even Negative Attention? Just to drive the markets up__ with too happy support from the complicit press who print everything, true or false that a lying POTUS babbles away to make some headlines for himself? ---- Gimme a break America!
Are we still believing whatever Trump said?
Trump pump it up
Unfortunately, they're climbing downwards. :(
Gold here I am
Show me.
as markets even turn mildly red, trump has a twitterfart reporting a trade deal is near. you can only fool markets so many times before a proper correction takes place.
no deal more tariffs
Trade deal comments rofl
Trade deal lol
Definatly going down hill after Dec 2
What are all these trade progress I hear about. I havent seen anything new in months
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