Get 40% Off
🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March.Read full update

FOREX-Recession fear sweeps yen up; high-yielders fall

Published 11/20/2008, 06:46 AM
Updated 11/20/2008, 06:48 AM

* Yen rallies; dlr/yen down 0.5 pct at 95.45

* Fed pares economic outlook, fanning recession fears

* Stocks slide; US automakers, Citi seen as pressure points

(Adds quotes, updates prices)

By Veronica Brown

LONDON, Nov 20 (Reuters) - The low-yielding yen extended a broad rally against major currencies on Thursday after downbeat economic forecasts from the Federal Reserve underlined dire global conditions and heightened risk aversion.

Investors were keen to continue cutting exposure to risk, and unwinding yen-funded carry trades in the process, due to fears about the viability of bank giant Citigroup Inc and major U.S. automakers.

The U.S. S&P 500 index dropped Wednesday to its lowest since early 2003 <.SPX>, while futures pointed to weaker open. Citigroup remained in focus after its shares hit a 13-year trough on Wednesday as investors question its prospects for survival [ID:nN19311307].

Meanwhile, at least one among household names General Motors Corp , Ford Motor Co and Chrysler LLC is at risk of bankruptcy if a last-minute bail-out plan fails. [ID:nN19320198]

Analysts said that as moves in the yen were correlating strongly with equities, further steep stock market losses would hasten further rises for the Japanese unit, which could take it back to 13-year highs against the dollar.

"Risk aversion has just completely dominated markets overnight -- this was accentuated by the minutes from the FOMC meeting last night," RBC currency strategist Christian Lawrence said.

"We have a clear under-performance of high-yielders relative to their lower-yielding counterparts. You could have the worst data in the world coming out but the yen will still rally on risk aversion," he added.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

By 1113 GMT, the euro

The dollar was down half a percent at 95.45 yen

The traditional safe-bet Swiss franc was also hammered against the yen

GRIM OUTLOOK

While the dollar was trapped in narrow ranges against the euro

The New Zealand currency

The minutes released on Wednesday from the Fed's October policy meet showed the central bank sees U.S. growth contracting in the second half of the year and the first half of 2009, even after a 50 basis point interest rate cut to 1.0 percent [ID:nN19340273].

This kept prospects high that U.S. rates could fall even further as the Fed tries to minimise the impact of the recession.

Major central banks have been slashing rates aggressively in an attempt to boost their economies during an extreme slowdown. Figures this month show that Japan and the euro zone fell into a recession in the third quarter.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"People are starting to give up on the hope that the economy is going to recover," said David Woo, head of currency research at Barclays Capital in London.

(Additional reporting by Naomi Tajitsu in London; Editing by Toby Chopra)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.