* Euro at 5-month high vs dollar, resistance near $1.4280
* ECB rate-hike expectations may be fully priced
* Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke to speak (Updates prices, adds details)
By Wanfeng Zhou
NEW YORK, April 4 (Reuters) - The euro hovered near a five-month peak against the dollar and an 11-month high against the yen on Monday, with near-term strength seen limited as an expected euro zone interest rate rise was mostly priced in.
The European Central Bank, at its policy meeting on
Thursday, is widely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points
from a record low to battle rising inflationary pressures in
the euro zone. Two more 25-basis-point rate hikes are factored
in by year-end.
Traders expect the euro to stay near current levels in the coming days, with resistance seen around $1.4281, the November high. The single currency could struggle to extend gains unless ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet sounds a surprisingly hawkish tone on inflation, analysts said.
"Market participants will likely remain reluctant to push too hard on the short side of the euro ahead of the European Central Bank rate decision," said Dan Cook, chief executive of IG Markets in Chicago.
"Once the unknown becomes known, the question becomes 'How long can 25 basis points remain supportive or do we face a situation of a quick relief rally that is followed by a rapid sell-off as market focus returns to sovereign debt?'" he said.
The euro
Traders also noted trendline resistance drawn from the euro's record high set in July 2008 coming in around $1.4300.
Investors were in a wait-and-see stance, with a number of central bank rate decisions in the developed world and a slew of speakers from the U.S. Federal Reserve later in the week.
The euro rose above 120 yen
The dollar was flat at 84.03 yen
The pair rose above its 200-day moving average last week, signaling the downtrend may have run its course.
Dollar/yen's "inability to close above the December 2010 high on Friday at 84.51 and the failure to get above that level today are leading to profit-taking and modest selling for the pair," said Greg Michalowski, chief currency analyst at FXDD.
"The market is also concerned that perhaps the Fed may not be so quick to change their policy course toward less accommodation."
Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was scheduled to speak later on Monday. Recent Fed official comments have highlighted divergence and uncertainty over the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart said on Monday that while U.S. inflation is likely to remain low for now, policymakers will keep a close eye on potentially self-fulfilling consumer expectations of higher prices.
The yen hovered near recent lows against higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian dollar. Expectations of low Japanese rates have encouraged investors to borrow in yen and reinvest in higher-yielding assets in the so-called carry trades.
The Bank of Japan is likely to downgrade its economic assessment and keep policy ultra-loose on Wednesday. ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
For carry trade graphic: http://link.reuters.com/xed88r ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
The Australian dollar traded at its highest since being
freely floated in 1983