Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

FOREX-Dollar falls vs high-yielders; market eyes Bernanke

Published 08/22/2011, 04:18 PM
Updated 08/22/2011, 04:20 PM

* Dollar struggles vs high-yielders as Fed meeting nears

* SNB intervenes in Swiss franc forward market

* Merkel repeats opposition to euro zone bond idea (Updates prices)

By Wanfeng Zhou

NEW YORK, Aug 22 (Reuters) - The dollar fell against some commodity-linked currencies on Monday as investors speculated the Federal Reserve could take new measures to boost the U.S. economy, lifting appetite for riskier assets.

The euro wobbled against the dollar for fear the European Union was moving too slowly to address its debt and banking crisis, while Swiss authorities tried to drive down the franc.

The Fed will host its annual retreat in Wyoming this week, and recent market turmoil and signs of weaker U.S. growth have boosted expectations Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke may hint at more emergency stimulus for the economy.

At last year's meeting Bernanke hinted at what eventually became a $600 billion 'quantitative easing' bond-buying program, known as QE2.

"The Fed is definitely on people's minds, and you could argue that some of the bounce seen in high-yield commodity currencies is at least in part related to hopes for more policy measures," said Wells Fargo strategist Vassili Serebriakov in New York.

The Australian dollar

Fed easing increases the amount of dollars in the system, pushing down the currency's value and U.S. interest rates. That encourages investors to seek higher returns in stocks or other currencies. But some analysts said Bernanke may hold off on aggressive easing plans. For more see [ID:nN1E77I0NF].

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Karl Schamotta, senior market strategist at Western Union Business Solutions in Calgary, said that with the financial system already awash with cheap money, providing additional liquidity is extremely risky. In addition, the markets are already doing the central bank's work by pushing Treasury yields to shockingly low levels.

"Investors looking for a third round of large-scale asset purchases are likely to be disappointed," he said. "Those looking for another injection of cheap liquidity may express their disappointment by pushing short yields and the dollar upward."

The latest positioning data shows speculators increased their bets against the dollar last week. [IMM/FX]

The euro

SWISSIE, YEN IN SPOTLIGHT

The euro and dollar edged up against the Swiss franc

The euro

The dollar rose slightly against the yen but remained near its all-time low, last trading at 76.78 yen

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Credit Suisse currency strategists said that while "the risk of intervention seems to be rising, we think the main impact would be to slow rather than stop yen appreciation."

Those looking for a more fairly valued safe-haven currency should consider Norway's crown, said Lena Komileva, global head of G10 strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in London.

Norway's fiscal stimulus sets it apart from indebted countries that are being forced into austerity programs, while a tight labor market should preclude near-term rate cuts.

The dollar was down 0.2 percent at 5.4505 crowns

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.