Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Forex - Dollar Lower as U.S.-China Trade Truce Spurs Risk Rally

Published 12/03/2018, 04:20 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - The dollar was broadly lower against a currency basket on Monday after the U.S. and China pulled back from escalating their trade war, sending investors into risk-on mode and dampening safe haven demand for the U.S. currency.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.51% to 96.69 by 04:14 AM GMT (09:14 AM GMT).

The White House said on Saturday that President Donald Trump told China's President Xi Jinping at the G20 talks in Argentina that he would not raise tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods to 25% on Jan. 1 as previously announced.

The two sides will hold negotiations aimed at reaching a deal within 90 days.

The euro gained ground against the dollar, with EUR/USD advancing 0.42% to 1.1363.

The pound was also higher, with GBP/USD up 0.26% to 1.2783.

The dollar was a touch lower against the yen, with USD/JPY slipping 0.12% to 113.42.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, often viewed as barometers for global risk appetite, were sharply higher, with AUD/USD up 1.09% to 0.7386 and NZD/USD climbing 0.84% to 0.6924.

However, some analysts warned many issues still have to be resolved for risk sentiment to stay positive in the medium term.

"A lot will depend on developments in the next 90 days, but given the U.S. and China are on different pages, we don't think the optimism can last. We reiterate trade wars need to be framed in terms of who hurts the least and see the G20 meeting as a stronger win for the U.S.," said Sue Trinh, head of Asia EM FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets, in a note.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Apart from trade, investors will also be turning their attention to U.S. monetary policy, ahead of an expected rate hike by the Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting later this month, which would be the fourth rate hike this year.

"The developments over the weekend will give the Fed more confidence to raise rates in 2019," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC markets.

The dollar was pressured lower last week when the market took comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as an indication that the Fed could slow its program of hiking interest rates.

Powell is scheduled to testify before a congressional Joint Economic Committee later this week.

"We believe that Powell has simply toned down his hawkish tilt seen in October, with the Fed on track to deliver a hike, the fourth this year, at the FOMC meeting on 19 December, as well as another four increases in 2019," Philip Wee, currency strategist at DBS, said in a note.

-- Reuters contributed to this report

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.