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Forex - USD/CAD re-approaches 2-year lows after U.S., Canadian data

Published 07/28/2017, 09:28 AM
Updated 07/28/2017, 09:28 AM
© Reuters.  Greenback drops against broadly stronger loonie in early trade

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar moved closer to a recent two-year low against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, as tepid U.S. data failed to boost sentiment on the greenback, while higher oil prices and a strong Canadian growth report supported demand for the local currency.

USD/CAD hit 1.2440 during early U.S. trade, the session low; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.2460, retreating 0.76%.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.2412, Thursday’s low and the lowest since June 2015 and resistance at 1.2575, Thursday’s high.

In its advance report, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis said gross domestic product rose 2.6% in the second quarter, in line with estimates and up from a 1.2% growth rate in the three months to March. First quarter GDP was revised from an previously estimated 1.4% increase.

The report also showed that the U.S. employment cost index ticked up 0.5% in the last quarter, disappointing expectations for a 0.6% rise.

The dollar had already weakened the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday that inflation remains below its 2% target even as near-term risks to the economic outlook appear “roughly balanced.” In the past, the Fed judged that weakness in inflation was transitory.

The central bank’s cautious tone on inflation sparked fresh uncertainty over the possibility of a third rate hike this year.

Sentiment on the greenback was also vulnerable after Senate Republicans failed to pass their Obamacare repeal bill in a dramatic vote of 49-51 late Thursday night.

In addition, the Senate approved sweeping sanctions against Russia, forcing President Trump to decide whether to accept a tougher line against Moscow or issue a veto amid investigations into ties between his presidential campaign and Russian officials.

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In Canada, official data showed that the GDP rose 0.6% in May, surpassing expectations for an increase of only 0.2% and up from a growth rate of 0.2% the previous month.

The commodity-related Canadian dollar also continued to benefit from the ongoing rise in oil prices, hovering near eight-week highs thanks to four consecutive weeks of declines in U.S. crude inventories.

The loonie was higher against the euro as well, with EUR/CAD down 0.35% at 1.4608.

Latest comments

Crude and CAD disconnected long ago. The price of crude had nothing to do with the drop today - it was caused because CAD Monthly GDP came in at 0.6% verses expected 0.2% combined with a meet on US Q GDP and a downward revision to last quarter. That added fuel to the fire and raised the odds that the BoC will raise rates again later this year, while the fed is somewhat mute on the subject. Nothing to do with crude - it's still under 50 and the Canadian economy shifted gears and other sectors picked up where crude fell on it's face
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