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Dollar holds gains as U.S. economic doubts grow

Published 10/06/2020, 08:14 PM
Updated 10/06/2020, 08:15 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: George Washington is seen with printed medical mask on the one Dollar banknote in this illustration taken

By Stanley White

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar held onto gains against most currencies on Wednesday after Republican U.S. President Donald Trump's abrupt cancelling of talks on economic stimulus with Democrats increased risk aversion.

Currencies had only just regained a sense of calm after Trump returned to the White House from hospital, where he received treatment for the coronavirus.

Trump's surprise decision to call off stimulus talks until after the Nov. 3 presidential election increases downside risks for an already shaky U.S. economy, which is likely to favour safe harbour flows into the dollar.

"The reaction is a type of risk-off trade to buy the dollar and the yen against other currencies," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities.

"Without additional stimulus, the U.S. economy will slow and the global economy will slow."

The dollar was last quoted at $1.1738 per euro (EUR=D3), holding onto a 0.4% gain in the previous session.

The British pound

The dollar bought 0.9179 Swiss franc

Trump, still being treated for COVID-19, on Tuesday turned to Twitter to break off talks with Democrats on an aid package even though U.S. virus cases are rising, which poses a serious threat to the economic outlook.

Highlighting the peril, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday warned that the U.S. economy could slip into a downward spiral if the coronavirus is not effectively controlled and called for more economic assistance.

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Traders will look to minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting and comments from several Fed speakers for further signs of how central bankers view the outlook.

The increased risk aversion, however, did not move the dollar against the yen, which was last quoted at 105.64

Trump has only just returned to work on Monday after three nights in hospital following his bombshell admission last week that he had contracted the coronavirus.

Medical professionals have said Trump's early discharge from hospital puts others at risk of infection, and its spread among his most senior staff is swinging public opinion against him.

Support for his Democratic rival Joe Biden has grown by about four percentage points since mid-September, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling from Oct. 2 to 6, with 52% of likely voters backing Biden compared to 40% for Trump.

Investors are starting to warm up to the idea of Biden winning the election, which is a positive for the dollar, Mizuho's Yamamoto said.

The Australian dollar

Across the Tasman Sea, the New Zealand dollar

Latest comments

no going to vote for none
Trump better for US. Biden is better for China.
...To be continued after Blue Tsunami 2020.
and what makes you think that Republican States are doing any better? keep believing fake media (and I'm not a Democrat) Bad days ahead
Whoa there. Negotiations have been going on since House passed Covid-19 Bill with more pork than an Iowa farm. With election less than 30 days the President needs to devote energy to getting reelected. After a Trump win negotiations will resume.
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