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Dollar edges lower ahead of PMI data, Jackson Hole gathering

Published 08/23/2023, 03:23 AM
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Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped slightly in early European trade Wednesday, easing back from a two-month high ahead of more cues on monetary policy from the Jackson Hole Symposium this week.

At 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% lower at 103.402 but remained not far from the two-month high of 103.71 seen on Tuesday.

U.S. yields retreat from highs

The dollar has edged lower Wednesday as the 10-year Treasury yield has retreated from Tuesday's peak of 4.366%, a 16-year high, to trade around 4.3%.

Yields have soared because of a number of factors, but prime among them are expectations for higher Fed rates for longer amid a resilient economy.

More evidence of this is likely to come from the release of flash U.S. August PMIs for both manufacturing and services, with the composite index expected to remain in expansion territory.

However, the week’s highlight will be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium later this week, with investors seeking guidance on whether the Fed head believes more policy tightening will be needed to bring down inflation, or if enough progress has been made to keep rates on hold.

U.K., eurozone PMIs due

EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0855 and GBP/USD climbed 0.1% to 1.2748 ahead of the release of flash August PMIs for both manufacturing and services for Britain and the euro area as a whole.

Eurozone and UK PMIs have been sliding in recent months, amid stagnation in the service sector coupled with a contraction in the manufacturing activity.

Yen traders on intervention watch

USD/JPY fell 0.2% to 145.66, after Japanese PMI readings showed some resilience in local manufacturing activity through August.

That said, the pair remains not far off the nine-month high of 146.565 seen last week, as traders watch for any signs of intervention given that Japanese authorities started buying yen late last year when the dollar broke above ¥145.

Elsewhere, USD/CNY fell 0.1% to 7.2843, with the yuan supported by a substantially stronger-than-expected daily midpoint from the PBOC, and AUD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.6428, after the release of Australian PMI data.

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