Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolios

Southwest Airlines amplifies concerns about domestic travel demand, shares plunge

Published 07/27/2023, 06:42 AM
Updated 07/27/2023, 04:21 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Southwest Airlines Boeing 737-800 plane is seen at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) in the Greater Los Angeles Area, California, U.S., April 10, 2017.   REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson//File Photo
ALK
-
AAL
-

By Rajesh Kumar Singh and Shivansh Tiwary

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Shares of Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) slumped on Thursday as its outlook for the current quarter and full year disappointed investors, fueling concerns about the strength of domestic travel demand.

The largest U.S. domestic carrier also missed Wall Street earnings estimates for the second quarter.

Its shares were down about 10% in afternoon trade, dragging down the broader NYSE Arca Airline index.

Investors have been worried about a slowdown in domestic travel after recent fare data shows ticket prices for domestic flights have peaked. Airlines have been relying on strong demand to offset higher costs.

The Dallas-based company's revenue per available seat mile (RASM) - a proxy for pricing power, is projected to decline as much as 7% in the September quarter from a year ago. Meanwhile, it expects a jump in labor expense to drive up its non-fuel operating costs this year.

Southwest attributed the decline in RASM to a tough year-on-year comparison as resumption of travel after the pandemic amid limited flights had sent airfares soaring last year.

Earlier this week, domestic leisure carrier Alaska Air (NYSE:ALK) Group had also warned of a decline in pricing power in the current quarter from a year ago, saying surging international travel demand had also led to a drop in domestic travel.

"We expect shares of Southwest (as well as the other domestically focused carriers) to continue to trade down near term as its results will amplify concerns around slowing domestic air travel demand," TD Cowen analysts said in a note.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Southwest executives, however, said leisure travel demand remains resilient and is expected to generate "record" revenue for the company in the September quarter.

On an earnings call, Chief Commercial Officer Ryan Green said Southwest had an "all-time record" fare sale last month for travel this autumn.

The company, however, is wrestling with ever-changing travel patterns. As a result, it now plans to shift frequency of its flights from mostly short-haul business travel heavy routes to more medium and long-haul routes.

Southwest did not provide a profit estimate for the third quarter, but Raymond James' Savanthi Syth said its outlook implied earnings in the range of 31 cents-76 cents a share. That is lower than analysts' consensus earnings estimate of 96 cents per share for the quarter, according to a Refinitiv survey.

Daniel McKenzie, an analyst at Seaport Research Partners, called Southwest's earnings report "the worst" in the company's history.

Southwest's adjusted profit for the second quarter came in at $1.09 per share, below analysts' estimates of $1.10 per share, according to Refinitiv data.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.