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Wall Street ends up on jobs data, debt default averted

Published 06/02/2023, 05:24 AM
Updated 06/02/2023, 06:51 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 30, 2023.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

By Herbert Lash and Shreyashi Sanyal

(Reuters) -U.S. stocks closed higher on Friday after a labor market report showing moderating wage growth in May indicated the Federal Reserve may skip a rate hike in two weeks, while investors welcomed a Washington deal that avoided a catastrophic debt default.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq index surged to a 13-month intraday high and posted its sixth-straight week of gains that marked its best winning streak since January 2020.

U.S. job growth accelerated in May but a surge in the unemployment rate to a seven-month high of 3.7% as more people looking for employment indicated labor market conditions were easing, the Labor Department said.

The jump in the unemployment rate from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April reflected a drop in household employment and a rise in the overall workforce. A bigger labor pool is easing pressure on businesses to raise wages and helping decelerate inflation.

"While it appears to be a hot number on the actual number of people employed, the wage rate is not increasing as fast," said Kim Forrest, chief investment officer at Bokeh Capital Partners in Pittsburgh. "That is a softening effect and is this the mythical soft landing? Looks like that."

The data brought relief to investors who mostly expect the Fed to pause hiking rates at its policy meeting on June 13-14. It would be the first halt since the Fed started its aggressive anti-inflation policy tightening more than a year ago.

But some pointed to the much hotter-than-expected jobs data as a sign the Fed still has not yet tamed inflation.

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"Our view is and has been that the market is completely wrong on assessing what the Federal Reserve is doing," said Phil Orlando, chief equity strategist at Federated Hermes (NYSE:FHI) in New York.

"The market's perception is that this economy was going to cool, inflation was going to collapse and the Fed was going to turn around and start cutting interest rates. That's wrong."

Fed funds futures showed a 71.3% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in two weeks, down from 79.6% on Thursday, according to CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch Tool.

Markets now await data on key consumer prices a day before the Fed's rate decision in two weeks.

The Senate passing a bill late on Thursday to lift the government's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling avoided what would have been a catastrophic, first-ever default.

Passage of the vote eased investor concerns as Wall Street's fear gauge, the CBOE volatility index, fell to its lowest since November 2021, down 1.1 points at 14.6 points.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 701.19 points, or 2.12%, to 33,762.76, the S&P 500 gained 61.35 points, or 1.45%, to 4,282.37 and the Nasdaq Composite added 139.78 points, or 1.07%, to 13,240.77.

For the week, the S&P 500 rose 1.82%, the Dow added 2.02% and the Nasdaq gained 2.04%

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.05 billion shares, compared with about 10.58 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Shares of Verizon Communications Inc (NYSE:VZ), AT&T Inc (NYSE:T) and T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS) Inc declined after a report said Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) was in talks with the U.S. telecoms to offer low-cost wireless services to its Prime members.

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Verizon slid 3.2%, while AT&T and T-Mobile declined 3.8% and 5.6%, respectively; Amazon gained 1.2%.

All 11 S&P 500 sectors advanced, with the materials index leading, up 3.4%, and the consumer discretionary sector, housing Amazon, close behind, rising 2.2%.

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Corp slid 1.1% for a second day of declines after briefly entering on Wednesday the elite club of megacap stocks valued at $1 trillion or more on hopes artificial intelligence will deliver significant future returns.

But Nvidia's almost 170% rise year to date highlights investors face of a market dominated by the out-performance of megacaps while most other companies tread water.

"Nobody’s really explained to me how they’re going to make any money from it," said Michael Landsberg, chief investment officer at Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management in Punta Gorda, Florida. "A company like Nvidia going up so much in such a short period of time, that doesn't make any rational sense."

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 4.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.73-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 posted 15 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 74 new highs and 40 new lows.

Latest comments

WHAT A SCAM. DAMNNNNN JOEYYYYY!
Who the F. K. is dylan anyway ☠️☠️?
BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
as usual, mitch another day another complaint....when will this amateur find something else to trade.....
Janet Yellen liquidity drain on the stock market begins Monday. It's equivalent to a 25 basis point hike
how will she do that
If the US defaulted, they'd say all negative catalysts are out of the way and rally 5%
How many times has it risen due to default avoided?
If it didn't fall 1st due to danger of default not being avoided, then 0.
The Federal Reserve doesn't make economic policy for this country, congress does, so why the laser focus on what the Fed is doing, their actions come as a result of the across taken by congress, and it's the irresponsible liberals in congress that put us here, and by raising the debt ceiling are keeping us here, how about a laser focus on them
On the otherhand, massive new expansions in semi-conductors, batteries, solar cells, renewable energy, automobiles and parts, etc, etc is hardly the result of irresponsibility from democrats. Massive jobs growth and sustainable GDP growth while increasing energy independence and reducing pollution seems to be a winner to me.
"by raising the debt ceiling are keeping us here" --  No.  Congress can cut spending & raise taxes no matter how high or low the debt limit is.
why are you even trading? you don't know how the debt ceiling works nor the multiplier effects of policy on an economy norhow govt works, you're over here crying about democrats like a 3 year old who got their toy taken away🤡.
I hold my short positions. Maybe I have to sell a kidney next week for financing them, but by God, I won't close them.
 Not, I bet on technical patterns.
 Hm. The opposite has to happen: by closing a Short position, a trader buys the shares back on the market which leads to a rising market. Of course I wouldn't say that my positions would affect a market in any direction, but I think you understand what I mean.
“Markets can remain irrational (or rational) longer than you can remain solvent (or irrational).”
They just write the story based on what the stock market does even if what they write makes no sense.
Don't talk about Mitchell Pioneer behind his back.
🤣🤣🤣🤣😉😃
sell in June go away
I continue to buy this market until it sends major sell signals and stock market amateurs stop complaining about the market rally.
they're always complaining.
too much, too fast. doomed
then why are you in this market...
Best legal Ponzi scheme
then why are you in this market......
Best way to earn legal Ponzi money.......bull put/call all the way
The idea that the Fed should hold rates while unemployment is well under 4% and the stock market is booming is ludicrous.
why shouldn't they hold? if inflation is coming down and employment is steady then they've accomplished their dual mandate.
two wrong tech trends are unwise EV and AI. simply doomed
Always green to End.
ridiculous stock pumping. lose lose mkt may be confused
t
Wow...Shocker...
last one out pleeease turn off the light.
Just pushing the "Dumpster" down the road. The US decided to go into the Debt Abyss last night and now would like other countries to buy our beloved Treasuries. We Defaulted, or loss the game, long ago. Keep eating the Cake.
there are only two countries in the world that have a debt limit the US and Denmark, and the Danish set it so high it will never hit it so it's an arbitrary limit. the debt limit is the equivalent of going to a restaurant and running the bill up only to in the end say you're not paying it, if you want to cut spending you do it in the appropriations bill this debt ceiling is just a dog and pony show for political gain, and the fact that you don't know that shows you should be nowhere near the markets.
Started $ printing again
Help me 😭
people, I stg, are stu pıd. they could swear people working is inflationary, ıdıøts.
The AI algorithms will keep market valuations elevated irrespective of actual economic conditions.
AI creates its own algorithms. Humans will just get in the way as it evolves. We will become irrelevant.
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