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Wall St notches second lower finish as 2024 starts with profit-taking

Published 01/03/2024, 06:15 AM
Updated 01/03/2024, 06:42 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk around the New York Stock Exchange in New York, U.S., December 29, 2023. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

By David French

(Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes ended the second session of the year down again in extended profit-taking on Wednesday after a strong finish to 2023, with minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting failing to shake off the funk hanging over markets.

It was the first time the benchmark S&P 500 index has started the year with two straight declines since it kicked off 2015 with a three-session skid. It is also its worst two-day result, on a percentage basis, since late-October.

The decline contrasts with the blistering run for all three major Wall Street benchmarks in the final two months of the year. The S&P 500 came within striking distance of its all-time closing high last week as signs of cooling inflation spurred investors to bet on an aggressive rate-cutting schedule.

However, investors have been cautious so far in 2024, wary of the U.S. central bank's expected pivot to rate cuts this year and how quickly these might be implemented. While the Fed is widely expected to keep rates on hold in January, traders have priced in a 67% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in March, as per CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.

The Fed minutes released on Wednesday offered new insight, with policymakers appearing increasingly convinced that inflation was coming under control, with "upside risks" diminished and growing concern about the damage that "overly restrictive" monetary policy might do to the economy.

Little light was shed on when rate cuts might commence though.

"The market wanted to hear when and how much the Fed was going to drop rates, and they didn't get that - even if it's not the Fed's job to do that," said Jason Betz, private wealth advisor at Ameriprise Financial (NYSE:AMP).

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"What we're seeing play out in today's selling maybe is a little bit of frustration with the perceived lack of transparency of the Fed."

Betz noted that profit-taking from 2023's gains and recalibrations for the new year were likely also factors influencing traders' thinking.

Shares of rate-sensitive megacap stocks fell, with Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) , Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) ending down between 0.7% and 4%.

The S&P 500 lost 38.02 points, or 0.8%, to end at 4,704.81 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 173.73 points, or 1.18%, to 14,592.21. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 284.85 points, or 0.76%, to 37,430.19.

Airline stocks came under pressure as a jump in oil prices, following disruption at Libya's top oilfield, raised concerns about fuel costs. The S&P 1500 passenger airlines index tumbled 4%. [O/R]

Higher crude prices supported the energy index, which advanced 1.5%, the leading gainer among the minority of S&P sectors in positive territory.

Financials was among the sectors that traded lower, off 0.8%, with Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) and Blackstone (NYSE:BX) among those pulling down the index. They dropped 3% and 4.6%, respectively, after Goldman Sachs downgraded the stocks to "neutral" from "buy."

However, Citigroup gained for a second straight day, rising 1.1% to its highest finish since mid-August 2022, as the bank continued to benefit from a price target upgrade and an upbeat analyst report from Wells Fargo released the previous day.

The volume on U.S. exchanges was 11.84 billion shares, compared with the 12.35 billion average over the last 20 trading days.

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Latest comments

The Inflation that happened the last few years isn't going anywhere.  Doesn't anyone understand that inflation is a rate of change, and not something that goes down unless it actually is negative and even in that case, it is simply lowering the price on something by a small amount that has been increased by a larger amount for a long period of time.  Good grief, that 20% hike in gorceries isn't going anywhere.  And any increase in inflation is just adding addition cost to the already higher costs. I don't see how people don't understand this. Just because inflation rate is 5%, that means costs of those items rose another 5% over the additional 20% that was already added to the costs from a few years ago.
Earlier in this artllce, I posted: "US real wages have been rising since 2022Q3"
i think people understand economics just a bit better than you do, actually. compare prices now to prices in 1980 and calculate average inflation, then get back to us. news flash prices go up over time
NK Dole: You ate confused. Inflation can decline (and is declining). You are conflating inflation and prices.
Tom Lee said that Inflation will drop like a knife...and that we can have a correction in the first quarter and then rally in the 2nd half of 2024!
The market will "drop like a rock" (Tom Lee's expression lol) in the first half. Welcome to reality where nobody can afford their groceries anymore and their credit card rates STAY JACKED.
I thought rate cuts were good for another 000 points like you were saying. So why take profits now?
Any news on the imploding trillion dollar housing market?
Perhaps the poor data this morning contributed to the selling today. You stop selling mortgages on these overpriced homes and the economy will tank overnight.
Lots of debbie downers here. Be negative long term at your own peril. You can always find a bunch of reasons the next shoe is about to drop. Or you can put on your big boy pants and invest in quality companies while acknowleging nothing goes up in a straight line but it does go up over time. These constant hand wringers waiting for the next shoe to drop attitude will just give you an ulcer and not make you any richer. But if thats the way u roll in the words of the biggest hand wringer, waiting for the next show to drop pundit dan nathan — have at it people.
The recession has been delayed by the government covid liquidity. It's not long term bearish Rob. It's short term bearish that extended out to the first half this year. The liquidity stretched it out. But you can count on a big sell off in first half 24 is my suspicion.
Good advice, Rob. Many people let their hatred of America lead them to wish for a bad economy at the exclusion of empirical data.
There was a recession because of covid. Monetary infusions quickly pulled us out of it. You are looking backwards for something that has already occurred.
Profit taking? Aren't rate cuts good for another 1000 points like you keep saying? Why take profits now? Any news on the imploding trillion dollar housing market?
13 years of zero rates and QE are coming home to roost. Reality is quickly setting in and Americans are in for a brutal rude awakening to reality
Americans who are still retrumplican will stay asleep.
The only political members who are falling asleep belong to the democratic party. Sleepy Joe anyone?
  Can't be sleepy and woke.  Retrumplicans need to make up their minds.
The Fed will have to lower rates in order to help the banks with all that commercial real estate debt. But it won’t happen until later this year
Steve. The FED gives cash to defaulting banks. With the new FED NOW system implemented on July 20th, money can be immediately manufactured and deposited where needed. Simply add to the balance sheet.
The yield curve has now been inverted for 18 months. There is no more denying the brutal collapse and 10 year recession we are about to enter.
Blah bl blah bl blah
it inverted the first time March 2022. it's been 22 months
Historically, the US should already have enter recession before now, but the US hasn't.  This time it IS different.
rates was increasing in 2023 and the market was bullish. in this way everyone is just making fool retail investor.
Economy was strong
It will be interesting...excess monies from retail investors FOMO...military war costs ...migrant care costs...I still see inflationary pressures...but govt is in election year so anything can happen.
  We all always see inflationary pressures.  The inflation rate is positive the vast majority of the time.
Watch these centeal bank bozos come out and lie just get these fraud markets up while the real economy is going to hail in a hand basket. Its the best of times for the 1% and the worst of times for everyone else
not really. it's amazing for most. only think bad is mortgage rates.
Satire or delusional? This is a joke right? Right?
The market is NOT up.
Lots of bad news on the calendar early this morning. You people satisfied yet, or do you plan to continue following the fed around like a bunch of lost puppies? If any of you were adults, you'd know that current interest rates are great. There's nothing wrong with a prime rate of 3-5%. Sheesh. Grow up already.
Sir. The problem is that 30% of the economy (mostly tech) can't exist on loans this expensive.
Actually only good news for the market
"are rates really going down five or six times as it appeared to be the narrative at the end of last year?" The answer here is if they do , it means recession, in fact any cut means slowing economy.
Finally a comment based on reality, not political posturing or ignorance. Thank you sir for disrupting this echo chamber of politics
"slowing economy" can mean soft landing instead of recession.
Futures point lower because young people can't afford to buy the American dream; A house. Manufacturing is much lower than 20 years ago. Wages are below inflation and 🏠 house prices are up and through the roof. And this downdraft will not be temporary. Bad news, sorry.
US real wages have been rising since 2022Q3; US average housing price is below the price from 2022Q3.
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