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Wall St falls as labor data spurs rate hike jitters before debt ceiling vote

Published 05/31/2023, 05:59 AM
Updated 05/31/2023, 08:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Fearless Girl is seen outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 30, 2023.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

By Herbert Lash and Shreyashi Sanyal

(Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed down on Wednesday as a deal to raise the federal debt ceiling headed for a crucial vote in Congress, while unexpectedly strong labor market data rattled investors who fear the Federal Reserve might hike interest rates again in June.

The House of Representatives is expected to vote in the evening on a bill to lift the $31.4 trillion debt limit, a critical step to avoid a destabilizing default that could come early next week without congressional approval.

House passage would send the bill to the Senate, where debate could stretch to the weekend, just before the June 5 date when the government could start to run out of money.

But most analysts foresee the bill's approval and U.S. President Joe Biden said on Wednesday he expected the debt ceiling bill on his desk by next Monday.

"The bond market liked that there was some fiscal discipline and the equity market liked that it's not going to hurt growth," said Brad Conger, deputy chief investment officer at Hirtle Callaghan & Co in Conshohocken, Pennsylvania.

"I don't think we could have asked for a better outcome."

However, equity valuations are stretched considering interest rates are high, the economy is slowing and inflation needs to decline further, Conger said.

"Quite frankly, if we're really slowing down, the market is not offering a free lunch," he said. "It's going to be a struggle if inflation is not perceived to be ebbing, which is where we are."

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The Labor Department reported that U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in April, reflecting persistent labor market strength that suggests pressure on wages and inflation.

Futures traders raised to 70% the probability of a 25 basis points hike at the Fed's June 13-14 policy meeting. But that likelihood fell to about 32% after comments by Fed officials who are leaning to what some call a "hawkish pause." [FEDWATCH]

Fed Governor and vice chair nominee Philip Jefferson said skipping a rate hike in two weeks would provide policymakers time to see more data before making a decision. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also said on Wednesday that for now he is inclined to support a "skip" in rate hikes.

"The recent economic data has not really favored a pause in rate hikes," said Tim Ghriskey, chief investment strategist at Inverness Counsel in New York. "But we've had a number of Fed governors coming out this afternoon and saying a pause is either likely or certainly possible."

The Labor Department's closely watched May unemployment report, due on Friday, could decide whether a rate hike occurs.

The major indices pared some losses after the comments by Fed officials.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 134.51 points, or 0.41%, to 32,908.27; the S&P 500 lost 25.69 points, or 0.61%, at 4,179.83; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 82.14 points, or 0.63%, to 12,935.29.

For the month, the S&P 500 rose 0.26%, the Dow lost 0.3.48% and the Nasdaq gained 5.80%.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 13.87 billion shares, compared with the 10.58 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

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Technology-led gains have put the Nasdaq on track for its best performance in May since 2020.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said U.S. banks' total deposits declined by a record 2.5% in the first quarter after two large bank failures.

The S&P 500 financial sector index fell 1.1%, with banks taking the brunt with a 2.0% slide.

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Inc plunged 35.0%, falling the most on the S&P 500, after the auto parts retailer cut its full-year forecasts.

Shares of other autoparts makers including Genuine Parts Co, Autozone and O'Reily Automotive fell 5.6%, 2.8% and 2.7%, respectfully.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE:HPE) Co slipped 7.1% after missing Wall Street estimates for second-quarter revenue.

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Corp's shares fell 5.7% a day after hitting a record high that briefly boosted its market value above $1 trillion on Tuesday, fueled by bets on the AI boom.

Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) was the biggest gainer on the S&P 500, jumping 4.8% as the chipmaker said it was on track to hit the upper end of its second-quarter revenue forecast.

Intel has risen 14.7% in its biggest three-day rally since March 2009.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.37-to-1 ratio favored decliners.

The S&P 500 posted four new 52-week highs and 23 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 36 new highs and 182 new lows.

Latest comments

there was no buy the rumor, so there will be no sell the news. moderate rallies of stocks and bonds are coming.
you havent seen the nasdaq over the past two weeks then? the entire market is being held up with a few AI stocks in a massive pump and dump scheme - huge sell off coming in the next few days
I feel like the article could be more up to date, referring to the breaking news from earlier about the pause on rate hikes?
sell the news on pausing or "skipping" - the inflation data and jobs data over the past few days has been strong so if they FED are skipping, then that means they know something major in the financial sector is about to break - and it absolutely is - commercial real estate sector are defaulting massively on their debt and many regional banks are not wanting to roll over the loans that are due as funds continue to flee those bands and head towards the bond market where the US treasury are about to offer a trillion or more in new gov bonds at lovely high safe rates - pulling liquidity out of the dangerously overpriced, overhyped stock market
I wouldn’t worry about jitters but the hand jiggers that some of you will have to give lol
Banana republic
A banana republic is one were laws are applied selectively. This is the opposite, where no man is above the law. Equal justice for all.
 ahahaah - that's so funny - the FBI head is literally defying Congress - in contempt, as he will not hand over documents regarding Hunter Biden from the Biden Crime syndicate that have been laundering bribes from China, Ukraine - etc - Read Whitney Webbs two new books if you want to know what's really going on. Gary Gensler and FTX - they're all in it together - utter corruption and they own the judiciary - it is absolutely a banana republic especially with all the money printing also.
There are no jitters. Every day is the same deal for weeks now. When one catalyst runs out of steam, another takes its place
It's just amazing now that a broken economy is fuel for wall street. If this was 1929 it would have gone up.
Here is the reality: One of the first things that Biden did when he took office was hand NORD-2 over to Putin. This enabled Putin to proceed with invasion of Ukraine. Ukraine is one of the most corrupt countries in the world, and there are thousands of articles talking about this published prior to Biden taking office. Many democrats have children who were put in proxy positions in Ukraine to have millions of dollars laundered back into their pockets, including Hunter Biden. Recall that Joe Biden did a quid pro quo to get an investigator fired in Ukraine who was investigating corruption in the company that Hunter was on the board of. Zelensky is a former actor and has amassed a fortune of over $500 million after just a few years in office. There are videos of him snorting cr.ack. US taxpayer money funded that cra.ck. Do not be a sheep, this is not about Russia, it is about money laundering operation. All it has done is strengthen the eastern block at the expense of US taxpayers.
Joe’s a lame we already know that he’s a lifelong senator what do you expect he’s no different from anyone on either side
Why is there a Fearless Girl outside of the NYSE and what was s/he afraid of in the first place and how do you know it's a biological female?
It's neither biological female nor male nor biological.  It's a hunk of bronze.
 That's right! It's a hunk of bronze that identifies as a girl.
 Why is/was she scared of the stock exchange? Is she short or long?
oh and dylan the west is superior to anything the totalitarianism can produce..... Russia is doomed
Russia doesn't produce much outside of natural resources (e.g., energy, metals, food).  About the only products w/ intellectual property are arms, and the CCP has be stealing that.
China, with Russian weakness, is eyeing the return of Outer Manchuria, Russia took the territory from China in the treaties of 1858-1860...
dylan mulvaney.. still spouting The propaganda of the brutal Russian dictatorship you sound like a puppet on the Russia Today news network. Russia is in a slow motion social and economic disintegration. so far an estimated 1 million Russian citizens have fleed the brutal Russian dictatorship. the psychopath dictator Putin has destroyed Russia's future with his dreams of empire...and has disgraced the Russian people with the war crimes his military has committed against the people of Ukraine.
The CCP might hold off on invading Taiwan since it sees a better/easier/more lucrative victim in Russia.
"US Stocks Pare Losses," the most prolific headline in internet new history.  Don't they always?  BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
I love the volatility, it means more opportunity to make money. can't make money in this market mitch.,. to bad..
Mitch more idiotic complaints, don't you get tired of making a fool out of yourself...
@dylan mulvaney:  I am closer to a true Republican than the retrumplicasn, who are the rinos they falsely accuse/project true Republicans of being.
so do you think government spending cuts and debt ceiling fights is being fiscally conservative six months after SVB?
the dis associate required to be a republican is astounding
 That's off-topic from US support for Ukraine.  "government spending cuts" "is being fiscally conservative", but "debt ceiling fights is" NOT "being fiscally conservative".
Brandon sending hundreds of billions of US taxpayer dollars to the corrupt actor in Ukraine and risking starting nuclear war, meanwhile Russia seeing their lowest unemployment rate in their history. "Russian labour shortage laid bare as unemployment drops to record low" Putin laughing at the US and strengthening the eastern block while we are busy trans'ing children and the military.
I don't often agree with what Brad has to say but he's right... A large chunk of working age men in Russia have either fled the country or been drafted to fight. Numbers will be skewed because of that. Additionally, the unemployment numbers are reflecting the collapse of the Russian workforce due to age. Before the war started, Russia had one of the fastest aging workforces in the world (meaning their pool of potentials is shrinking). Remember...only people who are seeking employment are counted. In other words, smaller pool of prospective employees but increased demand due to being shut off from the rest of the world = lower unemployment numbers. Pretty simple math once you take demographics into account.
 Unemployment numbers show a dynamic between supply and demand. If Russia were economically suffering they would not have low unemployment. Just because some working aged people are leaving does not mean that demand for workers remains high unless the economy is doing well.
People are only trying to pain Russia's low unemployment in a negative way because of wartime propaganda. Reality is that Russia is not doing worse than most of the world right now despite hundreds of billions of US taxpayer dollars being wasted in Ukraine.
you guys still trying to feed the agenda wall street is dipping because of debt ceiling and fed hike. nope, big boys going to cash because of underlying stuff is starting to hit the fan. big time. nothing to do with debt ceiling. absolutely nothing.
Which agenda?  There's more than 1.
Fed's pause or even rate cut in June? would be good.
Never a shortage of magic in the laughingstock of the financial world as the US Ponzi Scheme "drifts higher."  Criminally manipulated JOKE.
This market is the most perfected scam in the history of human society. Every one of these firms is a joke. The "market" is a cluster of black boxes run by people like Ken Griffin. How anyone can take any of this seriously is beyond me.
jitters, jitters, and more jitters
win win for both dems and pubs. win win for both bonds and stocks. the way it is.
spending cuts to save the deficit is like thinking EVs will solve global warming. we need taxes - period
we are also the reserve currency - we literally have to have a deficit too.
But aapl is moving keeping spy afloat
who is the one that buy votes with social politics ??? who wants to raise tbe debt ceiling ? who wants to forgive the student loans ?
Trump was boasting about the Chinese tariffs, paid by Americans, he was giving to his farmers base in red states.
And Trump and his retrumplicans were for raising the debt ceiling when he was potus.
And some of those who benefits from forgiving student loans are those scammed by Trump U.
abraham is confused the Republicans under Trump gave us political chaos and a 40% increase in the debt...now the Democrats are again trying to fix the problems the Republicans created.
And it's still chaos after Trump's term in Trump world.
Most of that debt that was created during Trump's term was from the covid stimulus and of course all the added pork Democrats had to have in order come to agreements. you know, kind of like now.
fake numbers
the only thing fake is your remarks abraham ....
think before you elect a democrat , all yoh going to have is chaos , depression , regression , and george soros , bill gates amd zuckberg with much more money , be the goverments’ slave happy with some change they give you Trump 2024
Bill Gates (& people like Buffet) would be much richer now if he get give away so much to philanthropy.
AI bubble is a lie
Thank you America for destroying the market! We never end with good news. Bad news after bad news. I hope there is nothing else after debt ceiling and interest rate.
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