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FTX repercussions, Pelosi, Saudi relations thaw - what's moving markets

Published 11/18/2022, 06:13 AM
Updated 11/18/2022, 06:14 AM
© Reuters

By Peter Nurse

Investing.com -- The fallout from the collapse of crypto exchange FTX continues to reverberate, while good news for U.S. retail stocks is set to lead to a higher open on Wall Street. Nancy Pelosi has announced she is standing down as the senior member of the Democrat Party in the House of Representatives, ending an era. President Joe Biden signals a thawing in the relations with Saudi Arabia, while companies will be looking to the FIFA World Cup for a sales bounce. Here's what you need to know in financial markets on Friday, 18th November.

1. FTX fallout continues

The collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX continues to reverberate, as Genesis Block, a leading cryptocurrency retail service provider in Hong Kong, announced Friday it was ceasing trading.

"We have ceased trading, as we don't know which counterparties would fail next, so we would rather close out all our positions to regain some of our liquidity," chief executive Wincent Hung said, according to Reuters.

This followed FTX filing for bankruptcy last week, at which point the company's new CEO, John J. Ray III, said that the company's situation involved a "complete failure of corporate controls."

There is now likely to be an unsightly scramble for the FTX assets which still exist, with the Securities Commission of The Bahamas ordering the transfer of all FTX digital assets to a digital wallet owned by the commission "for safekeeping."

There has also already been a lawsuit filed in Miami by FTX account holders claiming deceptive business practices, and this is likely the first of many that will be brought given the billions of dollars in losses on the cryptocurrency exchange.

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2. End of the Pelosi era

The loss of control of the House of Representatives by the Democrats as a result of the U.S. midterm elections also marks the end of Nancy Pelosi's long career of congressional leadership.

Pelosi announced on Thursday during a speech that she would give up her House leadership role but remain in Congress, representing San Francisco as she has done since 1987.

She was the highest ranking and most powerful elected woman in U.S. history until Kamala Harris became vice president in January 2021, having served two stints as speaker, first from 2007 to 2011 and then regaining the job in 2019.

President Joe Biden, in a statement, called Pelosi "the most consequential speaker of the House of Representatives in our history."

She will be replaced as House speaker by Republican Kevin McCarthy, while Hakeem Jeffries is widely expected to take the role of House Minority Leader, becoming the first black person in that role.

3. Stocks set to rise; Gap beats quarterly expectations

U.S. stock markets are set to open higher Friday, as investors digest some positive retail earnings as well as hawkish comments from a number of Federal Reserve speakers.

By 6:20 ET (11:20 GMT), Dow Jones futures were up 145 points or 0.4%, while S&P 500 futures were up 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures were up 0.8%.

Retail chain Gap (NYSE:GPS) stock is seen with strong gains premarket after beating estimates for quarterly sales and profit after the close Thursday, helped by steady demand for its formal clothing and dresses from affluent consumers.

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Rival Macy's (NYSE:M) had also signaled strong demand for high-end apparel ahead of the holiday season earlier in the week.

However, it wasn't all good news, as online retail giant Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) said late Thursday that its layoffs would extend into 2023, with reports suggesting the company is still targeting around 10,000 job cuts.

Economic data centers around existing home sales, while Boston Fed President Susan Collins is scheduled to speak during the session.

4. Thawing in U.S./Saudi Arabia relations

In a sign of a possible thawing of relations between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, the Biden administration ruled on Thursday that Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has immunity from a lawsuit over the murder of Jamal Khashoggi.

President Joe Biden had previously promised to make Saudi Arabia a "pariah" over its human rights record, making it clear the killing in 2018 was "vitally important to me and the United States."

Adding frost to the relationship had been the decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, led by Saudi Arabia, to cut crude production to support oil prices last month, a move that sparked fierce criticism from Biden.

Oil prices have fallen back this week on concerns that rising COVID cases in China, the world's largest importer of crude, will hit the demand recovery. However, they still remain at elevated levels, adding to global inflationary pressures.

By 06:20 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.2% lower at $81.50 a barrel, down over 8% week-to-date, while the Brent contract fell 0.5% to $89.33, around 7% lower so far this week.

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5. Corporates looking for World Cup bounce

The FIFA World Cup kicks off this weekend, with many companies viewing the most widely viewed and followed single sporting event in the world as central to their fortunes this quarter.

Gambling firms, which are seeing a drop in online gaming from COVID peaks, are now staring at challenges from a cost-of-living crisis as customers seek to cut non-essential spending.

Adidas (OTC:ADDYY), which is the official supplier of the FIFA World Cup, cut its 2022 outlook earlier this month but will be looking for a boost from the massive exposure such a tournament brings.

Similarly, FIFA sponsor Budweiser, owned by Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE:BUD), the world's largest brewer, will be hoping for a jump in sales. That said, FIFA has announced that fans will not be allowed to buy alcohol around World Cup stadiums in a dramatic reversal just two days before the soccer tournament starts.

Latest comments

biden is weak
Biden bowing to MBS even after revelations of MBS mocking Biden says a lot. Shows how Biden is just a hypocritical liar with no international influence or respect. Well played Suadi Arabia, even better than Xi Jinping’s public scolding and belittling of Trudea.
SPY, -17%, ytd is not that thankful.
it is ridiculous to see wmt doing better than AMZN.
why do people have to suffer because of Fed's failure to prevent inflation from flaring up?
maybe congress should enact a law that congress could fire Fed governors with simple majority votes.
traditional retailing would be horrible this winter, bit online retailing would be good.
cold weather will force people to switch back to online retail mode.
AMZN's layoff is a classic cost-cutting excellence. AMZN should replace WMT as a DJiA component.
What is Genisis block trading? They should not be trading with customers funds?
If I were still an alcoholic, I'd be pissed off that FIFA backtracked on their promise of stadium booze.
Biden/Pelosi the biggest crooks in modern day elected officials.
rats fleeing the nest FTX is only a small piece of the corruption
it is so funny that everyone knows pelosi was inside trader but not SEC.
Thank god a theft and fraudster not seeking the top spot. Horrible inside traders.
Ending an era of insider trading - except she's still have all the insider information necessary to continue to buy and sell shares to make huge profits knowing decisions in advance in Congress - an utter joke - the politicians are rubbing the noses of the electorate in their ill gotten gains, whilst the policies carve out the wealth of the States with public debt turning into private profit.
Paul polosi and his gay lovers fight has anything to do with Nancy stepping down. Thought he had brain surgery lol Media is a joke - real story is covered up. SFPD IS A JOKE- where are the body cams??
ancy Pelosi has announced she is standing down as the senior member of the Democrat Party in the House of Representatives, ending an era.  Correction: ending an error!
Nancy Pelosi has announced she is standing down as the senior member of the Democrat Party in the House of Representatives, ending an (era.) ending an Error!
When FTX is declared a PONZI, all of them Democrats that received millions of dollars for their campaigns to include the BIDENS will be forced to return the money to the Trust fund.
No Republican Candidates received money from this fraud.
Selling a few posh frocks somehow makes the value of a plane maker higher. Or is it just the name...Gap... amuses them?
are you implying FTX' 8 billion issue which is related to fraud and crypto is going to move the stock markets worth trillions? very thoughtful 🤡
Do not underestimate power of derivatives.
What's next?  Who makes the market move foreward or backward?
algos see where retailers have their money and the vampire squid gobbles it up....
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