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Fed keeps rates steady as cautious approach to policy continues

Published 11/01/2023, 02:03 PM
Updated 11/01/2023, 03:15 PM
© Reuters

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com -- The Federal Reserve kept rates steady on Wednesday as the central bank continued its cautious monetary policy approach, though stopped short of ruling out further rate hikes. 

The Federal Open Market Committee, the FOMC, kept its benchmark rate in a range of 5.25% to 5.5%.

Fed pauses for second-straight month, but doesn't rule out further rate hikes 

This was the second-straight FOMC that the committee decided to keep rates on hold, raising hopes that the Fed isn't like to resume rate hikes. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was unwilling to rule out further rate hikes.       

"We're not confident at this time that we've reached such a stance," Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said, responding to a question on whether financial conditions are sufficiently restrictive yet.  

How much do higher Treasury yields matter for future policy decisions?

The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady comes in the wake of a surge in Treasury yields to multi-year highs that have tightened financial conditions, prompting several Fed members including Powell to suggest that higher Treasury yields could help rein in elevated inflation. 

"These higher treasury yields are showing through to higher borrowing costs for households and businesses," Powell said. "Those higher costs are going to weigh on economic activity," he added.

In his press conference, Powell said the extent to which tightening in financial conditions, brought on by higher yields on long-term Treasuries, would shape future rate decisions would depend on two conditions.

"The first is that the tighter conditions would need to be persistent, and that is something that remains to be seen," Powell said. "The second thing is that the longer term rates that have moved up, they can't simply be a reflection of expected policy moves from us."

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Some have suggested that the recent surge in yields on long-term Treasuries are equivalent to about four 25 basis point hikes, but Powell said it was "too early" to make that distinction.       

Fed acknowledges pick-up in economic activity

Yet, the pick-up in economic activity remains a worry for the Fed as it threatens to boost inflation, muddying the Fed’s progress toward bringing down inflation toward the 2% target. 

"Recent indicators suggest that economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter," the Fed said in a statement. 

The U.S. economy accelerated to 4.9% in Q3, data last week showed, marking the biggest rise in growth in nearly two years, underpinned by a still-strong labor market that has supported consumer spending. 

Latest comments

Higher oil and energy prices directly benefits Muslim countries like Qatar, Iran etc. They use money to fund terror everywhere. Oil and Energy price should go down so Islamic countries cannot support terrorism anywhere.
where did you get this idiotic trash?
I elect yes turn the feds off completely especially fees and taxes and interest until they form over what is owed.
powell is joker
Is this the pivot?
Abnb
Predicable "late trade" FRAUD in the BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
I can't remember when day trading has been so much fun! I really don't want to be long here but it's been super trading the chop at these levels. There wasn't even hardly and instances of catching a falling knife.
Powell seems to think he has been doing a good job. maybe an AI Fed algorithm would be better.
look at the sp500 vix.
VIX dropped after FOMC event which met expectation.
as usual , is doing nothing to bring down inflation. And inflation is still at 4% !
The "is there a hiking bias" question was great.  The answer: "We don't use that term but... yes."
Elections are next year so nothing more til after that
Because the Fed is afraid that Trump will win and threaten to fired them again?
blah blah blah..
At some point the commercial and residential real estate markets will tank and we will get crushed, I hate Powell.
Rich, the contraction in the real estate markets was signaled earlier this year. that contraction was predictable and followed a normal cycle pattern.
I am hopeful of such outcome. prices NEED to crash
I have been advising people against trying to speculate in the real estate markets until this cycle signals a bottom. buying a place to live is a different question.
Stocks are soaring. So continuing and soaring inflation is a key driver of stocks up...got it!
The stock market can get back to going down every day after this FED non-event.
This fairy tale does not have a happy ending.
It's time to retire the phrase "data dependency"
till March we can see another hike
  US inflation rate has been trending down since >9% in mid-2022.
  US inflation rate has been trending down, aka "going away", since >9% in mid-2022.
US inflation rate has been trending down, aka "going away", since >9% in mid-2022.
LOL! He threatens and does nothing again and again. "Don't Believe the Fed" is the new mantra.
When the Fed paused in the last FOMC meeting, that was not "again".  The Fed paused again in today's meeting.  Just 1 "again".
Pause already priced in. Wait until inflation starts accelerating only to be halted by the upcoming recession.
True
I said it in September, FED will not raise rate again!
wait For 2024....
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