Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Exclusive-Argentina central bank, hopeful on inflation, set to break tightening cycle -sources

Published 10/14/2022, 10:59 AM
Updated 10/14/2022, 05:11 PM
© Reuters. The facade of Argentina's Central Bank is pictured in the financial district of Buenos Aires, Argentina December 7, 2021. REUTERS/Agustin Marcarian

By Jorge Otaola

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) -Argentina's central bank is set to hold the benchmark interest rate steady at 75%, which would snap a tightening cycle since the start of the year, two sources said, with the entity hopeful that monthly inflation will slow in the months ahead.

The bank had been mulling another potential hike after successive increases each month this year to counter inflation that is set to end 2022 at over 100% and that is hurting ordinary Argentines, hitting savings and economic growth.

However, the directors were unable to reach a unanimous decision over a new hike with concerns about the economic impact of higher rates, one source, an adviser to the bank, told Reuters, asking not to be named as the discussions were private.

"There was no consensus (among the board) to increase the rate because it is certain that inflation will go down in the coming months," the source said.

A second source with direct knowledge of discussions said the benchmark rate would for now remain unchanged. The bank's monetary policymakers meet weekly.

Argentina's monthly inflation in September came in at 6.2%, the official statistics agency said late on Friday, undershooting forecasts of a 6.7% rise and down from a peak of 7.4% in July. Annualized inflation was 83%.

The adviser said at least two directors had been opposed to a new hike. The bank has six directors who make key decisions, along with the president and two vice presidents. Normally decisions are made by consensus.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"Neither today nor yesterday is the rate issue on the agenda," a central bank spokesman said, adding that money policy decisions were voted on by the entire board. "The tradition is that everything comes out by consensus."

The directors are hopeful that rises in the monthly consumer price index (CPI) will slow towards 6% in the remaining months of the year, the adviser said. There were concerns more hikes to the benchmark 'Leliq' rate would feed a "quasi-fiscal deficit" and make credit even more expensive, hurting growth.

The benchmark rate had been 38% at the end of last year.

In the region, Chile and Brazil have also been signaling an end to tightening cycles, with signals of inflation having peaked, though Argentina remains an outlier with one of the highest inflation levels in the world.

Latest comments

Argentines: You may want to hire an economist that UNDERSTANDS Keynesian Economics.
But Inflation and the promise of rate hikes now bring "hope" to markets...like they did yesterday. Peak absurdity
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.