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U.S. PPI accelerated unexpectedly in November, frustrating hopes for quick pivot

Published 12/09/2022, 08:32 AM
Updated 12/09/2022, 08:42 AM
© Reuters.

By Geoffrey Smith

Investing.com -- U.S. producer prices rose faster than expected in November, in another sign that inflation isn't coming down as fast as the Federal Reserve would like.

The producer price index rose by 0.3% from October, more than the 0.2% consensus, and October's number was also revised up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The picture was flattered by volatile food and energy prices: without those two elements, the 'core' producer price index rose 0.4%, the most since June.

That left the core year-on-year rate of factory gate inflation at 6.2%. While that's the lowest reading in over a year, the result of big increases in energy prices last year passing out of the equation, analysts had forecast a steeper decline to 5.9%. More recent developments in energy markets also helped, with gasoline prices down 6.0% on the month.

The headline annual PPI rate similarly declined only to 7.4% from an upwardly revised 8.1% in October. Analysts had forecast a slowdown to 7.2%.

Analysts said the broad trend of disinflation in traded goods was still intact, however. In year-on-year terms, all of the main sectors of the index are falling with the exception of wholesale food prices, tweeted Charles Schwab's chief fixed income strategist Kathy Jones.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics said that most of the impulse for November's data came from final demand services, with financial services accounting for one-third of the total gain in services prices. It noted that service providers' profit margins expanded by 0.7 percentage points, fresh evidence that corporate pricing power has contributed largely to overall inflation this year, besides the better-documented narratives of higher energy and labor costs.

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U.S. stock futures reacted negatively to the news, which was seen as making it harder for the Federal Reserve to slow and then stop this year's sequence of interest rate increases. After a strong labor market report for November, market participants expect the Fed will have to raise rates above 5% to bring inflation down decisively.

By 09:05 ET (14:05 GMT), Dow Jones Futures had reversed overnight gains to trade down 95 points, or 0.3%, while S&P 500 Futures and Nasdaq 100 Futures were down by fractionally more. However, the bond and currency markets were more relaxed, with Treasury yields staying broadly flat and the Dollar Index gaining less than 0.3% to trade at 104.82, flat on the day.

Latest comments

pivot lol
This inflation has an eerie similarity to 2007 and Oil could pop anytime.
The GFC was caused by bad/under-regulations, not war.
Inflation rate peaked in mid-2008 and went negative in 2009
Comforting green market in the face of a .75 possibly 1.00 rate hike next week. If you don't buy puts at days end, you're living in the ozone.
mkt should get patient and rejoice X-mas Patient PIVOT RALLY.
And the market is green. Scam
stock mkt is flat on lowest core ppi in a year. maybe even God is impatient and greedy sometimes.
Back to green
back to red
what does flattered even mean in this context? horrible writing and no editing at all?
The producer price index was made to look better, less high, by volatilefood and energy prices that didn't rise as much.
There was literally NEVER case for a "quicker pivot." That is literally the most braindead nonsense.
The "case" that continues to exist is that the economy is in recession and has been all of 2022, regardless of the phony numbers released just before midterm elections. A global DEPRESSION coupled with very high inflation will arrive sooner than most are prepared for.
  Is the "we're were already in a recession" thing making it's rounds again?  When do we re-start whining about Biden re-defining "recession"?  The midterm elections are over.  Are we preparing for the Nov 2024 election so soon?
impatience usually costs. sometimes dearly.
core ppi 6.2%, the lowest reading in over a year. some people are impatient. let's be careful of being impatient. patience normally pays.
I refuse to hold any stocks anymore. everything keeps dropping. not worth the risk. the fed controls the markets. no fundamentals left. going to try other investments outside of the stock market. rigged casino..
That's the advice I've been giving out:  if you think it's rigged, just don't participate in the game.
25bp increase next week
With energy costs still high due to Russia invasion of Ukraine and wages increasing due to higher consumerprices in retail. PPI will not be the first place to look at potential pivot for FED. This will rather be the core CPI data next week which should go down given that the consumer gas and petrol prices have decreased 20% these past 2 months.
There's NO pivot coming anytime soon. Get that through your thick skulls
Unexpectedly? Have you walked in any supermarket lately?
Waiting on Mitchel Pioneer's daily post. It's like a drug for me.
Lets put it into perspective. .3% two months in a row. If this continues another 10 months the rate would be .3 x 12 = 3.6%
The liquidity crises rolls on.
Worthless analyst's forecasts came true?
So much nonsense in one simple headline! Unexpectedly? are you living under a rock? Pivot again? Yeah its wall street junkies WISH not Powell´s plan.
PPI are still decreasing from 6.7 to 6.2 with the same trend. Some forecast were 6.1.
unless you live in a gated compound with servants to do all your errands this was no surprise
It's never a surprise in this scam market
everyone except the propaganda media saw this
you would sound smarter if you didn't use so many euphemisms
Should really sell off today. CPI is way too risky now to be long now. Not many people will hold through CPI. I'm out
But look, the scam market is making it all but impossible to profit off a decline in this market. What an absolute joke.
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