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U.S. PCE price index cools in March; Consumer spending remains flat

Published 04/28/2023, 08:45 AM
Updated 04/28/2023, 09:01 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- A measure of inflation closely watched by the Federal Reserve slowed on a monthly basis in March, as the U.S. central bank is widely tipped to raise interest rates by a quarter percentage point at its next policy meeting.

The personal consumption expenditure price index moved higher by 0.1% during the month, down from the 0.3% registered in February and estimated by economists. Annually, the number slowed to 4.2% from 5.1%.

Excluding volatile items like food and energy, the PCE index increased by 0.3% in March, in line with the prior month and meeting economists' projections, according to Commerce Department data on Friday.

On a year-on-year basis, the core reading moved down to 4.6% from an upwardly revised mark of 4.7% in February, but topped estimates of 4.5%. The Fed uses the PCE price indexes, which gauge how much consumers are paying for goods and services, for its 2% inflation target.

The Fed has raised interest rates at an unprecedented clip over the past year in a bid to corral runaway inflation.

The stubbornly elevated prices and higher borrowing costs weighed on U.S. consumer spending last month, with inflation-adjusted personal consumption stalling month-on-month after a downwardly revised 0.2% drop in February. Consumer spending makes up over two-thirds of all U.S. economic activity.

Meanwhile, growth in the world's largest economy decelerated by more than anticipated to 1.1% in the first quarter, in a sign that the spike in rates may be starting to impact output.

Latest comments

In my opinion, contracts concluded between some developing countries to withdraw the dollar from their transactions together and the devaluation of the dollar increase inflation and increase interest rates in the US.
5.1 % to 4.2 % and cools slightly ? this is good sizeable drop. all the way from 8 % to 4.2 % in last few months. another 1 odd % down to 3 % or so might happen in 2-3 months time and there is a huge need for Fed to pause, because current rate has contained inflation and can bring it down further. moreover this is crude driven inflation (+ some commercial renta inflation). as long as crude remains sub 90 usd (Wti) gradually inflation will come down.
inflation is hardly contained. While the numbers are lower, it still represents increases in prices, it's not negative
Of course its higher and the market just buys it up
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