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Payrolls Growth in U.S. Misses Big for a Second Straight Month

Published Oct 08, 2021 08:32AM ET
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Payrolls Growth in U.S. Misses Big for a Second Straight Month

(Bloomberg) -- The U.S. added fewer jobs than forecast for a second month in September, signaling weakness in the labor market recovery and complicating a potential decision by the Federal Reserve to begin scaling back monetary support before year end.

Nonfarm payrolls increased 194,000 last month after an upwardly revised 366,000 gain in August, a Labor Department report showed Friday. The unemployment rate fell to 4.8%, while average hourly earnings jumped.

The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists was for a 500,000 rise in September payrolls.

Consecutive months of sluggish job growth indicate a tug of war between employers -- starved for workers to meet demand -- and candidates have been slow to return to the workforce. Nonetheless, school reopenings and the end of expanded federal unemployment benefits should lead to a pickup in hiring in coming months at a time when companies are boosting pay.

The jobs figures risk not satisfying the Federal Reserve’s “substantial further progress” criteria for labor market improvement, indicating the central bank could delay its plan to begin tapering asset purchases by year-end.

Chair Jerome Powell said after last month’s policy meeting that “a reasonably good employment report” for September would be needed meet that test.

Vaccine mandates put into place by employers and governors in states including California and New York in recent weeks could also be contributing to churn in the labor market and adding to hiring challenges.

 

Payrolls Growth in U.S. Misses Big for a Second Straight Month
 

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Comments (31)
William Bailey
William Bailey Oct 09, 2021 7:08AM ET
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QE is a tool for the wealthy , time to cut off the free credit tap! Markets are doomed either way as the Fed destroys the credit of the US. The squabble over debt ceiling has made it abundently clear … we cant pay our obligations ! Nobody will buy our debt soon , its worthless thanks to the Fed
Anthony Crowley
Anthony Crowley Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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Something that may have been missed here is that a number of people have dropped off these payroll related reports because they've started new businesses.  My practice has been overwhelmed this past 18 months with new business startups in a wide variety of sectors needing tax & organizational assistance.  Construction, retail, services, and financial services just to list a few.  These new business owners have not been just former rank-and-file either many of them held SMD, SVP or EVP titles in their former career.  The paradigm has changed, but traders still seem to be trying to apply the same historical interpretation to a KPI whose meaning and relevancy has changed.
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William Bailey
William Bailey Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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Nah, the Fed print of credit has destroyed consumers with massive asset and now commodities inflation … bottom line is greed
Catholic Man
CatholicMan Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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Still s wordeming economy.
Catholic Man
CatholicMan Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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Still a worsening economy.
Anthony Crowley
Anthony Crowley Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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Catholic Man Not all of these these new startups are going to make a lot of money.  Some of them I can see are doing well enough and with some hard work and luck may replace or surpass previous income, while others may never achieve that.  My point was that the jobs report needs to be considered differently and along side other metrics that may not have had as much significance in the past as they do now.
Anthony Crowley
Anthony Crowley Oct 08, 2021 1:31PM ET
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William Bailey You missed my point altogether.
Maxamad Cali
Maxamad Cali Oct 08, 2021 10:54AM ET
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ok thanks
peter neal
peter neal Oct 08, 2021 9:46AM ET
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The Fed will never tighten. There will be another excuse or event. Mexico has tightened to 4.5 due to inflation but not here due to Fed being corrupt and paid off political appointees.
New Jazenevd
New Jazenevd Oct 08, 2021 9:28AM ET
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Excessive money printing helps to stock market and nothing else. Real economy does not get any help, it is harmed actually.
Christopher Tidmore
Christopher Tidmore Oct 08, 2021 9:26AM ET
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The reason the report is low is because companies can't hire someone when their resume screening algorithms disqualify everyone. There is no one to interview and hire if they keep getting rejected by a computer.
Michael Roal Casa
Michael Roal Casa Oct 08, 2021 9:23AM ET
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with some anti vaxers dying off because of Covid, there will be a few more jobs available soon
me ish
me ish Oct 08, 2021 9:23AM ET
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someone who still believes the mainstream narrative - wholly owned by the corporate sector- fool!
John Klan
John Klan Oct 08, 2021 9:23AM ET
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it's been nearly 2 years and at this point mire people are dying from suicide and accidents than covid.
Philip Bolin
Philip Bolin Oct 08, 2021 9:23AM ET
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🐑
John Healy
John Healy Oct 08, 2021 9:21AM ET
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More QE; more spending; more taxing; continued rock-bottom interest rates; more bank profits; continued inflated everything bubble; continued joblessness; continued welfare. What a complete joke. There’s a Monty Python skit in here somewhere.
me ish
me ish Oct 08, 2021 9:21AM ET
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the FED and government have nowhere to go. end game is coming soon - they've only been able to kick the can for so long - prepare for the Great Depression and great crash Repeat from 1929 - you can't stop the natural laws of the ninety year cycle!
John Klan
John Klan Oct 08, 2021 9:18AM ET
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Many folks who oppose Vax mandates are quitting jobs or getting fired. Over a million new illegal immigrants have poured across the border and you would think that would help but most of them are just here living off welfare paid for by middle class taxpayers and or working service jobs for cash. This country is in a huge mess and the piper will come very soon. Stock up.
DONGHUN LEE
DONGHUN LEE Oct 08, 2021 9:13AM ET
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The civil servants quit their jobs because they didn't want to get vaccinated.
 
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