U.Today - As the crypto community eagerly awaits the decision on the by Jan. 10, former BitMEX CEO has made a bold prediction in his latest essay, titled "Signposts." Hayes foresees a significant correction for Bitcoin in the near future, ranging between 20% to 30%.
At the same time, he suggests that this correction could potentially escalate to a more substantial 30% to 40% if U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs commence trading.
In his essay, BitMEX founder articulates his trading strategy, expressing confidence in his ability to time the market. He plans to make a strategic move in late February, attempting to capitalize on what he believes will be the peak of the .
Hayes' plan
Hayes is cautious about the impact of massive fiat inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, warning of a potential dollar liquidity "rug pull." This concern leads him to delay any purchases until after the March decision dates. He emphasizes the need to select a strike price for the put options carefully, aiming for 20% to 25% out of the money based on the current at-the-money quarterly June futures contract price.
With central banks flooding the market with printed money and the imminent launch of U.S.-listed and Hong Kong-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs, Hayes sees the current market sentiment as overly bullish. He highlights the importance of taking a non-consensus view, suggesting that the risks and rewards from a trading perspective favor a more cautious approach.