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TD Cowen cuts Blackstone shares target on slower realization outlook amid rate hikes

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/19/2024, 09:21 AM

On Friday, TD Cowen adjusted its outlook on The Blackstone Group (NYSE:BX) shares, reducing the firm's price target to $114 from $117 while maintaining a Hold rating. The revision reflects anticipated slower realizations from the company's portfolio and balance sheet, as well as lower net investment income (NII) for the years 2024-25.

The analyst from TD Cowen pointed out that despite the year-to-date decline in Blackstone's stock price, which has improved the risk/reward balance, the price has not yet reached a level they consider an attractive entry point for investors.

The firm's management has acknowledged that the recent increase in interest rates is impacting the timing of realization activities, which are transactions where investments are converted into cash or an equivalent.

The commentary from Blackstone's management suggests a cautious approach in a sector that has been strategically sensitive to market conditions. The analyst noted that while the overall environment for Blackstone is showing signs of improvement, the current delay in realization activity due to rate hikes has introduced some uncertainty into the company's near-term financial performance.

Blackstone's financial outlook is being closely monitored by investors as the company navigates through a changing economic landscape influenced by interest rate movements and other market dynamics. The company's ability to adapt to these conditions will be key to its performance in the upcoming financial periods.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent analysis from InvestingPro provides a nuanced perspective on The Blackstone Group's financial health and market performance. With a robust revenue growth of 131.1% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, Blackstone's financials suggest a strong upward trajectory. This is further evidenced by a significant price uptick of 29.8% over the last six months, indicating investor confidence in the company's market position and future prospects.

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InvestingPro Tips highlight that Blackstone is expected to see net income growth this year, which aligns with the company's impressive revenue increase. Additionally, the company has a history of maintaining dividend payments, with a current yield of 3.12%, which could appeal to income-focused investors. However, it's worth noting that 10 analysts have revised their earnings estimates downwards for the upcoming period, suggesting some caution may be warranted. Blackstone is also trading at a high Price / Book multiple of 20.29, which could suggest the stock is valued richly compared to its book value.

For investors considering Blackstone's stock, these insights, along with the 9 additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/BX, could provide valuable guidance. Use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription for more in-depth analysis and tips.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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