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Citi starts Aon stock at Neutral citing lagging organic growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/22/2024, 05:43 AM
AON
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On Wednesday, Aon Corp (NYSE:AON) stock received a new coverage initiation from Citi with a Neutral rating and a price target of $309.00.

The global professional services firm, which specializes in risk, retirement, and health solutions, had its coverage resumed after a period where its rating was suspended.

Citi's position reflects a cautious optimism towards Aon. While acknowledging the company's historically attractive valuation, with its price-to-earnings ratio approximately 24 points below its three-year average relative to the S&P 500, the firm expressed reservations.

Concerns highlighted include Aon's organic growth performance, which has lagged behind peers such as Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., Brown & Brown, Inc., and Marsh & McLennan Companies by about three percentage points over the last seven quarters.

Additionally, Citi noted potential near-term disruptions stemming from Aon's recent $13 billion acquisition of middle market broker NFP in April 2024, along with a multi-year transformation program.

The analyst mentioned that while Aon's capital strength, innovation, and data analytics focus bode well for the integration of NFP and the potential to unlock value, these benefits are expected to materialize as longer-term catalysts around 2026 and beyond.

The new price target of $309.00 suggests Citi's neutral stance on the stock's short-term prospects, balancing the company's underperformance in organic growth against its potential for future value creation from strategic acquisitions and internal initiatives.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro provides a nuanced perspective on Aon Corp's financial health and market performance. With a market capitalization of $63.05 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.67, Aon is considered a significant player in the professional services sector. Adjusted figures for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 indicate a slightly lower P/E ratio of 21.35, suggesting a modestly improved earnings picture over the short term. Moreover, the company has demonstrated a solid revenue growth of 7.06% for the same period, underlining its ability to expand its top-line figures.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Aon has a commendable history of dividend reliability, having raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years and maintained dividend payments for 45 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors. However, analysts have tempered their earnings expectations for the upcoming period, with 11 analysts revising their earnings downwards. This cautionary sentiment aligns with Citi's analysis, which pointed to concerns about Aon's organic growth trajectory. Additionally, Aon's trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth could signal that the stock is priced optimistically in terms of its earnings potential.

For investors looking for more comprehensive insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that could further inform investment decisions. By visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/AON, interested readers can explore these tips and take advantage of a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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