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Citi maintains buy on Brown & Brown stock, sets $94 target

EditorBrando Bricchi
Published 04/23/2024, 02:45 PM

On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on insurance brokerage firm Brown & Brown (NYSE:BRO) with a steady price target of $94.00. The firm's solid first-quarter earnings report, which exceeded consensus estimates, is expected to drive the stock's outperformance. Brown & Brown reported earnings per share of $1.14, surpassing the consensus forecast of $1.07.

The earnings beat was attributed to a combination of a lower tax rate and higher profit commissions, which may not be recurring factors. However, Citi highlights the company's organic growth acceleration as a more significant factor. The growth rate increased to 8.6% from 7.7% in the previous quarter, comfortably ahead of the expected 6.6%. The slight miss in margins, excluding profit commissions and investment income, was deemed less important in light of this growth.

Brown & Brown's organic growth was notable across all three of its business segments. The management's updated outlook is optimistic, indicating expectations for continued economic expansion through 2024 and predicting upward pressure on casualty pricing. These elements are seen as positive indicators for the brokerage industry as a whole.

The Programs segment, in particular, demonstrated robust organic growth of 11.8%, which is significantly higher than the expected 6.4%. This growth is especially noteworthy given it occurred despite a more than three-point headwind from flood claims servicing revenue related to Hurricane Ian from the previous year.

In conclusion, Citi views the first-quarter financial results as indicative of a persistently favorable environment for insurance brokers. The firm's performance is seen as a positive reflection of the sector's potential, with Brown & Brown's comprehensive growth across segments reinforcing the positive outlook.

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InvestingPro Insights

Following Citi's optimistic stance on Brown & Brown, InvestingPro data echoes a promising financial narrative for the company. With a market capitalization of $23.68 billion and a P/E ratio standing at 25.39, Brown & Brown appears to be robust in its market valuation. Notably, the company has experienced a healthy revenue growth of 15.25% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, underpinning the solid earnings report highlighted by Citi. Furthermore, the firm's gross profit margin impressively hovers at 48.31%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability.

From a shareholder's perspective, Brown & Brown's commitment to rewarding investors is evident with a dividend yield of 0.63% and a noteworthy streak of raising its dividend for 31 consecutive years. This financial discipline is complemented by a 13.04% dividend growth over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, showcasing a reliable return on investment. Additionally, the stock's price stability is reflected in its low price volatility, with a 94.22% price relative to its 52-week high, signaling investor confidence in the firm's performance.

For those considering a deeper dive into Brown & Brown's financials, InvestingPro offers further insights. With two additional InvestingPro Tips available, including analysts' upward revisions of earnings for the upcoming period and the company's trade at a high Price / Book multiple, the platform provides a comprehensive analysis for informed investment decisions. Interested readers can find more tips and leverage these insights by using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

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