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US power use to reach record highs in 2024 and 2025 -EIA

Published 03/12/2024, 03:41 PM
Updated 03/12/2024, 03:51 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Power lines are seen during a heatwave with expected temperatures of 102 F (39 C) in Dallas, Texas, U.S. June 12, 2022. REUTERS/Shelby Tauber/File Photo

(Reuters) - U.S. power consumption will rise to record highs in 2024 and 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in its Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO) on Tuesday.

EIA projected power demand will rise to 4,099 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2024 and 4,128 billion kWh in 2025.

That compares with 4,000 billion kWh in 2023 and a record 4,003 billion kWh in 2018.

As homes and businesses use more electricity instead of fossil fuels for heat and transportation, EIA forecast 2024 power sales would rise to 1,511 billion kWh for residential consumers, 1,396 billion kWh for commercial customers and 1,042 billion kWh for industrial customers.

That compares with all-time highs of 1,509 billion kWh for residential consumers in 2022, 1,391 billion kWh in 2022 for commercial customers and 1,064 billion kWh in 2000 for industrial customers.

EIA said natural gas' share of power generation would hold at 42% in 2024, the same as 2023, before easing to 41% in 2025. Coal's share will drop from 17% in 2023 to 15% in 2024 and 14% in 2025 as renewable output rises.

The percentage of renewable generation will rise from 21% in2023 to 24% in 2024 and 25% in 2025, while nuclear power's sharewill hold at 19% in 2023, 2024 and 2025.

EIA projected 2024 gas sales would rise to 12.41 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) for residential consumers, 9.17 bcfd for commercial customers and 35.98 bcfd for power generation, but slide to 23.19 bcfd for industrial customers.

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That compares with all-time highs of 14.32 bcfd in 1996 for residential consumers, 9.63 bcfd in 2018 for commercial customers, 23.80 bcfd in 1973 for industrial customers and 35.43 bcfd in 2023 for power generation.

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>>...Something unusual is happening in America. Demand for electricity, which has stayed largely flat for two decades, has begun to surge. Over the past year, electric utilities have nearly doubled their forecasts of how much additional power they’ll need by 2028 as they confront an unexpected explosion in the number of data centers.. and millions of electric vehicles being plugged in.. Some utilities say they need additional fossil fuel capacity because cleaner alternatives like wind or solar power aren’t growing fast enough... While a data center can be built in just one year, it can take five years or longer to connect renewable energy projects to the grid and a decade to build some of the long-distance power lines they require. Utilities also note that data centers and factories need power 24 hours a day, something wind and solar can’t do alone..<< nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/13/climate/electric-power-climate-change.html?unlocked_article_code=1.ck0.BdO7.3Ewe_OXcJnnY&smid=url-share
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