Trump win raises fears over climate change goals, hits renewable stocks

Published 11/09/2016, 11:38 AM
© Reuters. Maintenance work is done on a Vestas wind turbine at a wind energy park near Heide
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By Alister Doyle

MARRAKESH, Morocco (Reuters) - Donald Trump's election as U.S. president triggered fears that his view that global warming is a hoax might lead other nations to scale back ambitions under a landmark climate change deal, while renewable energy stocks fell on world markets.

Trump's victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton cast a cloud over delegates attending a 200-nation meeting in Marrakesh to celebrate the start of the 2015 Paris Agreement to limit global warming last Friday.

Trump has threatened to tear up the Paris accord for cutting greenhouse gas emissions, worked out in two decades of negotiations by countries as diverse as China, Pacific islands and OPEC oil producers.

Some delegates expressed concern that Trump, who in the past has dismissed climate change as a hoax, could cause other nations to reconsider their position on global warming. Trump has also said climate change was an invention by China and wants instead to promote jobs in the U.S. fossil fuel industry.

"We will have a lot more hurdles," said Ian Fry, head of the delegation from Tuvalu, a Pacific island state which fears rising sea levels. He said Trump's victory could have a "domino effect on other nations".

The Paris Agreement allows all nations to set national targets to slow climate change and some could scale those back. The Marrakesh talks are also meant to start writing a "rule book" to oversee the pact that might be less stringent without the United States. There are no sanctions for non-compliance.

Many nations vowed to push ahead despite Trump with the sweeping plan to phase out net global greenhouse gas emissions between 2050 and 2100 by shifting from coal and oil to cleaner energies such as wind or solar power.

"The world can count on (the) EU to continue to lead on climate and drive the global clean energy transition. We need all our partners on board," European Climate Commissioner Arias Canete wrote in a Tweet.

"No change," Japan's delegation chief in Marrakesh, Shigeru Ushio, told Reuters of Japan's policies. He noted the agreement says it will take four years for any country to pull out of the agreement - the length of Trump's presidential term.

On markets, Trump's victory drove down renewable energy stocks. Shares in Vestas (CO:VWS), the world's biggest wind turbine maker, were down 8.6 percent, while Germany's Nordex (DE:NDXG) traded 7.9 percent lower.

By contrast, benchmark coal prices were up 2.3 percent.

"DARK, DARK DAY"

Many delegates expressed hopes Trump as president would accept mainstream scientific findings. A U.N. panel of climate scientists says it is at least 95 percent likely that man-made emissions are the main cause of rising temperatures since 1950.

Average global temperatures this year are set to be the hottest in records dating back to the 19th century, beating 2015. "Even Donald Trump cannot do anything about the laws of physics," said Laurence Tubiana, France's climate ambassador.

She told Reuters she was betting "all countries will stick to the Paris Agreement" as rising temperatures were damaging the global economy with more heatwaves, floods and droughts.

In Marrakesh, some youth campaigners wept at a demonstration against Trump. The United States is the number two greenhouse gas emitter behind China.

"This is a dark, dark day," said Jesse Bragg, of Corporate Accountability International. "My heart is absolutely broken," said Becky Chung of SustainUS.

Among statements about climate change, Trump asked in a January 2014 Tweet amid a cold snap: "Is our country still spending money on the GLOBAL WARMING HOAX?"

Overnight, at one Marrakesh hotel, environmentalists and climate scientists huddled around a television expecting a Clinton victory. Their mood descended into silence as the result became clear.

Other renewable shares were also hit. Spain's Gamesa (MC:GAM), which is being merged with Siemens (DE:SIEGn), and Portugal's EDP Renovaveis (LS:EDPR) traded 4.3 and 5.4 percent lower, respectively.

Still, many businesses, cities and investors are on track for greener growth.

Stephanie Pfeifer, CEO of the Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change, a European forum for 128 investors with more than 13 trillion euros of assets, said changes towards greener growth were "irreversible".

"Renewables have already overtaken coal as a global power source, electric vehicles are the growth segment of the auto industry and jobs are being created in clean energy sectors faster than any other," she said.

"Industrial development of renewable energy has reached a stage where it is no longer dependent on political support," echoed Tomas Kaberger, executive board chairman of Japan’s Renewable Energy Institute.

© Reuters. Maintenance work is done on a Vestas wind turbine at a wind energy park near Heide

"American cities, states, and businesses from Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) to Walmart (NYSE:WMT) will continue to drive toward the clean energy future. This election cannot change that," said Nathaniel Keohane, of the U.S. Environmental Defense Fund.

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