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OPEC+ announces surprise oil cuts; U.S. calls move inadvisable

Published 04/02/2023, 10:40 AM
Updated 04/02/2023, 07:01 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An employee pumps fuel into a car at a Shell petrol station in Nairobi, Kenya, September 20, 2018. REUTERS/Baz Ratner/File Photo

By Maha El Dahan and Ahmed Rasheed

DUBAI (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day, in a surprise move that analysts said would cause an immediate rise in prices and the United States called inadvisable.

The pledges bring the total volume of cuts by OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with Russia and other allies, to 3.66 million bpd according to Reuters calculations, equal to 3.7% of global demand.

Sunday's development comes a day before a virtual meeting of an OPEC+ ministerial panel, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia, and which had been expected to stick to 2 million bpd of cuts already in place until the end of 2023.

GRAPHIC: Surprise production cuts - https://www.reuters.com/graphics/GLOBAL-OIL/egpbyjrylvq/chart.jpg

Oil prices last month fell towards $70 a barrel, the lowest in 15 months, on concern that a global banking crisis would hit demand. Still, further action by OPEC+ to support the market was not expected after sources downplayed this prospect and crude recovered towards $80.

The latest reductions could lift oil prices by $10 per barrel, the head of investment firm Pickering Energy Partners said on Sunday, while oil broker PVM said it expected an immediate jump once trading starts after the weekend.

"I expect the market to open several dollars higher ... possibly as much as $3," said PVM's Tamas Varga. "The step is unreservedly bullish."

Top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia said it would cut output by 500,000 bpd. The Saudi energy ministry said the kingdom's voluntary reduction was a precautionary measure aimed at supporting the stability of the oil market.

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"OPEC is taking pre-emptive steps in case of any possible demand reduction," Amrita Sen, founder and director of Energy Aspects, said.

Last October, OPEC+ had agreed to an output cut of 2 million bpd from November until the end of the year, a move that angered Washington as tighter supply boosts oil prices.

The U.S. has argued that the world needs lower prices to support economic growth and prevent Russian President Vladimir Putin from earning more revenue to fund the Ukraine war.

The Biden administration said it sees the move announced by the producers on Sunday as unwise.

"We don't think cuts are advisable at this moment given market uncertainty - and we've made that clear," a spokesperson for the National Security Council said.

STARTS IN MAY

The voluntary cuts start from May and last until the end of the year. Iraq will reduce its production by 211,000 bpd, according to an official statement.

The UAE said it would cut production by 144,000 bpd, Kuwait announced a cut of 128,000 bpd while Oman announced a cut of 40,000 bpd and Algeria said it would cut its output by 48,000 bpd. Kazakhstan will also cut output by 78,000 bpd.

Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak also said on Sunday that Moscow would extend a voluntary cut of 500,000 bpd until the end of 2023. Moscow announced those cuts unilaterally in February following the introduction of Western price caps.

An OPEC+ source said Gabon would make a voluntary cut of 8,000 bpd and not all OPEC+ members were joining the move as some are already pumping well below agreed levels due to a lack of production capacity.

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After Russia's unilateral reductions, U.S. officials said its alliance with other OPEC members was weakening, but Sunday's move shows the cooperation is still strong.

GRAPHIC: Oil prices just recently pass 5-month lows - https://www.reuters.com/graphics/GLOBAL-OIL/lbvggjkglvq/chart.png

Latest comments

To crying americans: Extract more oil from US lands or import from freaking canada or Venezuela. OPEC+ oil is none of your business.
Yes we want the price of our oil to be traded above $100. No one cares about Joe Biden and his feelings anymore. We wait for a new GOP president in 2024.To my american and european friends I say this: enjoy the ride.Salam!!
Where is the bank crisis gone ? Total manipulation. I can see a big dump coming soon
based on what exactly?
If there is going be collusion, maybe they shouldn’t get to keep the oil…
what do you suggest exactly?
Must be a huge slowdown coming. I don't see this as bullish. This feels defensive.
Biden administration played their hand, released all oil in SPR, now it's other oil producers turn, they  made their move, SPR is depleted and oil can go double digits easily from here.
sorry for the typo, not double, triple digits.
I think you misspelled "some of the oil in SPR" too.
There wont be any extra capacity coming out of the US either. With depletion of SPR we are on a very slippery slope. Oil will be triple digits again very soon.
The US SPR is depleted? Oh, no!
well this results of amazing US politics trying to pariah other countries and call OPEC names many times , may be try to respect and wait for the better results, any way why US oil companies doesn't increase there produce !
ri gged
Absolutely. This is what you get when you stick your nose in other country's business, specifically the criticism from the left-wing media over the murder of the Saudi journalist. Payback is a 8|+ch.
The murder of Jamal Khashoggi in Turkey is Saudi Arabia's business? Interesting.
Oil producers learned from losses during the pandemic. $80 oil is about where the want to be. Oil stock investors want prices to stay high too.
Westerners, especially the USA finally reaping the consequences of their reckless monetary policy, debts, deficits, laziness, greed and consumption.
as opposed to authoritarian regimes with their repression of aby freedoms, reckless monetary policy, deficits, laziness, greed and corruption...
if only there was a way we could control our own oil and oil prices.
Present administration controls US oil output down. Of course, Saudis and Russians love the story.
Saudi Arabia has not been supportive of us lately. We need to stop selling arms to them.
Let’s just let the Chinese in Russians, sell them arms and ammunition. American workers don’t need the work.
You cant wait Saudi &OPEC to be supportive to you when you call them names last 20 years in your media, fix your relationship with Saudi&OPEC countries if you need help , spam there names if you need them to shut your phone calls , easy and simple, I think US Oil companies are the biggest gainers from abusing Saudi names in US media. I wouldn't surprise if we found them paying money for some reports or politics to spam Saudi& OPEC names ,now I am sure who is behind bad relationship between US and Saudi& OPEC. even you will find some reports saying Saudi oil are bad for the plants earth , but they never say US oil is bad too ! what does that mean !!
go ahead and good luck with that. We will abandon petrodollar deal and sell our oil in Yuan. We can buy S-500 from our friends in russia and other weapons from china. That’s what you when you treat our leaders like a pariah. Enjoy the oil rally ride. Soon you will see > $100.
Saudis can drive oil price to any number now. Ole Biden got US international standing to such a low point that even Iraq and Kuwait join the cuts. Total loss of influence.
Dems are 100% responsible for this. Only a smart new GOP president can fix this. We will see what happens in 2024
Time for USA to make sure its producing on 100% and not on 68% time to take over the oil market, UK. Norway and other EU members have also room to increase production, even Ukraine could
We are more than capable of producing 100% of our reserves, but the enemy from within we have is the Federal Government and this Global Warming scam.
No chance these countries increase oil production. The west is gutless, can produce climate change talk and lgbt promotion. Nothing else.
that would take years and us producers even oil majors don't want sub 80 oil because inflation increased drilling costs.
$150+ oil is coming, the Saudis are in charge amd they will get it. Another foreign affair failure for this administration.
The USA is not equal to the world, it is an important factor in the world economy, but this seems to be changing, it is a coordinated attack against the American dollar and the economy (inflation).
 The main enemy is usually internal, and US decline confirms this.
Who do we blame? Only fools look to blame anybody for some concoction of their imaginations that hasn't happened.
opec is simply helping the us tame inflation by making fuel more expensive - less people will drive - inflation solved
This idiot
increase u.s. rigs by 10 a week
Saudis want higher price and they will make it. Biden has placed US in losing position, will print another trillion to please himself.
Hilarious.
Surprise cut? No, saw it from a mile away. They're siding with China and on a mission to make US and EU miserable.
And the US has lots of oil production, unlike China.
its common sense Russia is part of OPEC+. Its also commons sense thst theyve been getting oil at discounted rate since sanction again russia. Its pretty obvious your kmowledge is very shallow
Haha so why is the oil up $5 on the news? And look at the dislikes om your ignorant comments? Lol sry ill stop arguing with stupid
Natural gas was the real problem for inflation anyway. Opec probably still is only cutting targets they were not making anyway
$125 a barrel sll summer long
so you making this call Chad? you talk lots of trash for someone who never has anything to say.
And at the same time, Biden has drained all of the USA’s strategic emergency petroleum reserves. Typical smooth brain libttard move
As opposed to a cultist republicuck move?
Thank God I didn't go long last week.
Obviously, I'm being facetious.
That ist good News for USA to increase its production and take this adventage to bring more oil in the market in percentage
Zero chance. US oil production has been constrained, any meaningful increase is not possible. If present administration policies continue then the production will start dropping soon. Saudis are in the driver seat and they know this.
The world is continuing to gang up on the U.S….oil, currency, etc. Sleepy is content with this so yawn for now.
@Watm Camp: What administration policies have constrained US oil production? The just opened Alaska fields? Anything specific, or is this another of your fevers?
I absolutely hate traitor trump but I swear to god if he vowed to assualt Russian forces inside Ukraine I would vote for him 100 times
typical American...... no wonder, Biden or Trump as leader.
Piss off
general bonespurs too funny
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