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Oil settles down more than $5 as US data shows weak demand for gasoline

Published Oct 03, 2023 08:44PM ET Updated Oct 04, 2023 03:11PM ET
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By Laura Sanicola

(Reuters) -Oil prices settled down more than $5 on Wednesday as fuel demand destruction and a bleaker macroeconomic picture took centre stage in the day's trade.

Brent crude oil futures settled down 5.11, or 5.6%, to $85.81 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell $5.01, or 5.6%, to $84.22.

At their session lows, both benchmarks were down by more than $5, and heating oil and gasoline futures also fell by more than 5%. Crude oil prices have fallen by about $10 since last week's settlement.

Finished motor gasoline supplied, a proxy for demand, fell last week to about 8 million bpd, its lowest since the start of this year, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported Wednesday.

Some of that demand destruction could be due to torrential rains which brought flooding to New York last Friday and post-tropical storm Ophelia, which doused the Northeast with torrential downpours in late September, said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

Seasonally, U.S. gasoline consumption is at the lowest level in 22 years, according to commodity analysts at JP Morgan.

A 30% spike in fuel prices in the third quarter of this year depressed demand, resulting in a counter seasonal plunge of 223,000 barrels per day, the analysts wrote in a Wednesday note.

Gasoline stocks rose by 6.5 million barrels, far exceeding expectations of a 200,000-barrel rise.

U.S. nationwide crude stocks fell by 2.2 million barrels to 414.1 million barrels in the week to Sept. 29, but stocks at Cushing, Oklahoma, the WTI delivery hub, rose for the first time in eight weeks.

Saudi Arabia's energy ministry confirmed it will continue its voluntary 1 million barrel per day (bpd) crude supply cut until year end, while Russia said it will continue its 300,000 bpd crude export cuts, and in November will review its voluntary 500,000 bpd output cut set in April.

But crack spreads, a proxy for refining margins, fell below $20 a barrel on Wednesday to the lowest level in about 1.5 years.

This margin "freefall" indicates high prices and interest rates are curtailing crude inventory purchases and increasing odds of a recession, said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Illinois.

"This could force further demand weakness that the Saudis and Russia may be unable to counter via additional production cuts," Ritterbusch said.

Economic news also pressured oil prices. Growth in the U.S. services sector slowed in September, data showed.

The daily Kommersant reported that Russia could be ready to ease its diesel ban in coming days, citing unidentified sources.

The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) online meeting kept the group's output policy unchanged.

Oil markets are heading in the "right direction" by balancing supply and demand, Kuwait's oil minister Saad Al Barrak said, according to state media agency KUNA.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said the Saudi and Russian cuts have helped to balance oil markets, and said the domestic market benefited from the Kremlin's diesel and gasoline export ban.

Oil settles down more than $5 as US data shows weak demand for gasoline
 

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Comments (15)
Pachara Naporn
Pachara Naporn Oct 05, 2023 5:24AM ET
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🤔
BD
BD Oct 05, 2023 2:11AM ET
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Rising oil after the summer was just a scam to scare the stock market into selling off so shorts could cover.
Barry Nickerson
Subbuilder Oct 04, 2023 5:16PM ET
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If you're reading this, it's too late to short.
Mohammed AlMezil
Mohammed AlMezil Oct 04, 2023 5:16PM ET
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Should i buy then ?
Brad Albright
Brad Albright Oct 04, 2023 5:16PM ET
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You should not ask that guy.
Barry Nickerson
Subbuilder Oct 04, 2023 5:16PM ET
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Brad Albright
Brad Albright Oct 04, 2023 5:16PM ET
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Barry Nickerson  Hey! We finally agree. LOL.
Alan Rice
Alan Rice Oct 04, 2023 12:37PM ET
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Saudis, Russkies: NOT dumb. (Crude is way too cheep under $100/bbl.)
Brad Albright
Brad Albright Oct 04, 2023 12:37PM ET
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The market disagrees with you.
David Grudin
David Grudin Oct 04, 2023 10:56AM ET
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Russia will sell as much oil as it can.
Maximus Maximus
Maximus Maximus Oct 04, 2023 10:52AM ET
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oil prices finding a more sustainable level, and that's it..
Royce Murph
Royce Murph Oct 04, 2023 10:15AM ET
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The only way to drop oil prices to make up fake news such as demand fears.  LMAO
Maximus Maximus
Maximus Maximus Oct 04, 2023 10:15AM ET
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yeah, I'm sure everybody read this reuters-article and then commenced to sell in panic..
Brad Albright
Brad Albright Oct 04, 2023 10:15AM ET
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Isn't it amazing the lack of critical thinking among some people. They seem to never stop to ask themselves, is this plausible?
EL LA
EL LA Oct 04, 2023 10:07AM ET
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Smart. The slowdown is real.
Otis Grant
Otis Grant Oct 04, 2023 9:28AM ET
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Greedy opec should be bombed
Brad Albright
Brad Albright Oct 04, 2023 9:28AM ET
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By whom? And would you bomb all of the OPEC countries, or just a few? How would you choose?
Maximus Maximus
Maximus Maximus Oct 04, 2023 9:28AM ET
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otis not sure you thought this one through.. opec's hq is in Vienna, and their host, Austria, is as you may know, not a member.. if I were you, I would think twice before I strapped that bomb-belt around my waist..
simone scelsa
simone scelsa Oct 04, 2023 8:38AM ET
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Time to load up some more on oil stocks before is too late.
 
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