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Oil settles lower on China COVID flare-up, recession fear

Published 10/10/2022, 09:09 PM
Updated 10/11/2022, 03:21 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, U.S., February 11, 2019. Picture taken February 11, 2019.   REUTERS/Nick Oxford

By Laura Sanicola

(Reuters) -Oil prices settled 2% lower on Tuesday, extending the previous session's almost 2% decline, as recession fears and a flare-up in COVID-19 cases in China raised concerns over global demand.

World Bank President David Malpass and International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned on Monday of a growing risk of global recession and said inflation remained a continuing problem.

Brent crude settled down $1.90, or 2%, to $94.29 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled down $1.78, or 2%, to $89.35.

"There is growing pessimism in the markets now," said Craig Erlam of brokerage OANDA.

Oil surged early this year, bringing Brent close to its record high of $147 as Russia's invasion of Ukraine added to supply concerns, but prices have slid on economic fears.

U.S. crude oil stockpiles were expected to have risen last week after having fallen the prior two weeks, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

Fears of a further hit to demand in China also weighed. Authorities have stepped up coronavirus testing in Shanghai and other large cities as COVID-19 infections rise again.

"From an economic perspective, it seems like China's throwing the baby out with the bathwater by continuing to lock down its population to lower cases," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York.

Oil also came under pressure from a strong dollar, which hit multi-year highs on worries about interest rate increases and escalation of the Ukraine war. [USD/]

A strong dollar makes oil more expensive for buyers with other currencies and tends to weigh on risk appetite.

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Losses were limited, however, by a tight market and last week's decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia, together known as OPEC+, to lower their output target by 2 million barrels per day.

President Joe Biden is re-evaluating the U.S. relationship with Saudi Arabia after OPEC+ announced last week it would cut oil production, White House national security spokesman John Kirby (NYSE:KEX) said on Tuesday.

"An undersupply is even looming next year because the production cut is supposed to apply until the end of 2023, according to the OPEC+ decision," a Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG) report said.

Latest comments

GOSTARIA DE SABER SE JÁ ESTÁ NA HORA DE COMPRAR ACOES? screva seus pensamentos
Ups Putin and salman strategy to prop up oil price to 100 dollars did not work. It seems market quickly realized the Opec+ is missing daily production quota by 3.5. mill. barrowls pr. day so the 2 mill. cut does not really mean anything for the world oil production...what to do?
come on 4 digits nasdaq during midterms that would be really funny...enjoy creepy joes america you all deserve it
Biden is a bum,and did it all.
Did it all to yourn mother.
Fake news...
Bloody attack by Russia pushes oil price higher => Inflation shoots up => Fed's hawhish aggression => stock market goes down and recession worry. What kinds of these things are?
Groundhog Day. How many times you gonna use the Chinese COVID as excuses for the market and oil dumping?
As long as it is the truth..
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