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Oil prices fall on demand concerns, U.S.-China trade tension

Published 05/03/2020, 06:51 PM
Updated 05/04/2020, 03:15 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County

By Roslan Khasawneh and Sonali Paul

SINGAPORE/MELBOURNE (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Monday, paring last week's gains, on worries a global oil glut may persist amid slumping demand and U.S.-China trade tensions that could restrict an economic recovery even as coronavirus pandemic lockdowns start to ease.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude (CLc1) futures fell as low as $18.10 a barrel earlier in the session and were down $1.01, or 5.1%, at $18.77 at 0658 GMT. The benchmark contract rose 17% last week.

Brent crude (LCOc1) futures were down 10 cents, or 0.4%, at $26.34, after touching a low of $25.50. Brent rose about 23% last week following three consecutive weeks of losses.

"As optimism fades around global growth prospects, oil is giving up (last week's) gains, aided by a strengthening U.S. dollar," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets.

The U.S. dollar (DXY) firmed on Monday against a basket of currencies. Oil prices are usually priced in dollars so a stronger greenback makes crude more expensive for buyers with other currencies.

"Brent traders have concerns about manufacturing data due tonight from Germany, France and Italy, with its potential to shift the demand destruction argument to the Brent contract," added McCarthy.

The market found support last week on signs of reduced infection rates and as major oil producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia were set to begin cutting production on May 1. The top two U.S. producers, Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM) and Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), each said they would cut output by 400,000 barrels per day this quarter.

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The output cuts combined with the loosening of business restrictions in some U.S. states and cities around the world were expected to ease the global fuel glut and pressure on storage tanks, helping to drive prices up last week.

Signs that the cuts may help reduce the reduce the supply overhang have emerged with the narrowing of Brent's contango - the market structure in which later-dated prices are higher than prompt supplies.

The six-month spread of Brent futures hit its narrowest in almost a month at a discount of around $6.50, up from a record wide discount of almost $14 in late-March, reflecting decreasing oversupply expectations and making storage for later sale less profitable.

However, a threat by U.S. President Donald Trump late last week to consider raising tariffs on China to retaliate for the spread of the coronavirus renewed fears that trade tensions could crimp an economic recovery, putting a lid on oil price gains.

"The resumption of the trade war will be detrimental to oil prices over the long term," said Stephen Innes, chief global market strategist at financial services firm AxiCorp.

U.S drillers cut 53 oil rigs in the week to May 1, bringing the total count down to 325, the lowest since June 2016, energy services firm Baker Hughes said on Friday.

Latest comments

Freedom to navigate South China Sea. So many great Asian countries to buy products from and much better quality. They also don't engineer viruses in labs.
China needs some Freedom 🦅🇺🇸
America picked the wrong side to support during the Pacific war of WW 2
learn a little about history first before making that comment. We DID have a choice a choice. That is dont impose embargoes and restrictions on a nation who was doing EXAXTLY what other nations were doing at that time. The Japs wanted nothing to do with the States.
  Has any of your family be killed at the bombing or any female at your family being looted? This can be a huge news.
🇺🇸🦅
Trump thinks we are out of the storme and now going after China! Markets will crash again in May
Trump is only good in creating problem, he does nothing to make American Great! hahaha is an useless president since Great America Independence.
Go Trump, send troops to destroy Putin and occupy Russia. America is now the largest oil producer and we can be super rich with oil. Trump has three sons and three daughters to join the army. But Putin has none.
Putin has two daughter and unknown number children boys and girls
 Hehehe how you know, are u one of them?
occupiers usually return home from Russia in zinc boxes ... remember
What our presindent will say now ? It can affect WTi price will see
Easing pandemic restrictions won't increase oil consumption however it will increase the possibility of a larger pandemic second wave.
Balanced against how much of an economy the US will have left if they don't all get back to work now.
i am aorry but it seems the article always blames on this stupid over supply and does nothing else to justify the drop. do the research. we all know oil has been over supplied.
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