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Oil climbs over 2% as recession fears begin to fade

Published 05/07/2023, 08:54 PM
Updated 05/08/2023, 03:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, U.S., November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/

By Stephanie Kelly

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices rose over 2% on Monday as U.S. recession fears eased and some traders saw crude's three-week slide on demand worries as overdone.

Brent crude settled up $1.71, or 2.3%, at $77.01. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude also gained $1.82, or 2.6%, to $73.16.

A healthy U.S. jobs report for April helped oil to climb by about 4% on Friday even though labour market strength could compel the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Brent had finished last week with a decline of about 5.3% while U.S. crude plunged by 7.1% even after Friday's rebound. Both benchmarks were down for three weeks in a row for the first time since November.

"Oil's rebound (on Monday) follows energy stocks' comeback on Wall Street last Friday after the U.S. reported strong job data, which eased concerns about an imminent economic recession," said CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng.

Banking concerns have plagued the market recently after the collapse of three major U.S. regional banks in recent months. Still, the KBW Regional Banking index posted its best single-day performance in seven weeks on Friday, before falling on Monday. [.N]

"The market is less worried about a banking crisis that could lead to a recession and hurt demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group.

Also supporting oil prices, Alberta declared a state of emergency over the weekend in response to wildfires that have displaced nearly 30,000 people and prompted energy producers to shut in at least 185,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd), about 2% of Canada's output.

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Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said oil's recent drop looked excessive.

"An oversold market condition combined with Brent managing to find support ahead of the March low forced recently established short sellers to seek cover, potentially highlighting that the recent sell-off was overdone," he said.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analysts on Saturday said that concerns over near-term demand and elevated supplies were "overblown."

A round of voluntary output cuts by some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, begin this month and the group holds its next meeting on June 4.

Before then, U.S. consumer price inflation figures for April will be in focus on Wednesday, potentially influencing the Fed's stance on future interest rate decisions.

OPEC's latest monthly oil market report is due on Thursday, providing an updated reading on the demand and supply outlook.

Latest comments

Buying
bank crises not at all over. its in danger for sure
How much they paid you to write this news..
so all reporters from your country work for free?
send more crude oil
Recession will 100% come. The question is how strong it will be. I bet pretty strong.
More than pretty
Looks like we are still on the soft landing glide path.
recession is definitely here - no doubt about it - service sector holding up OK for now, but always lags manufacturing - goods shipped around the world has fallen off a cliff at a time when shipping companies had invested in loads more ships - prices are falling fast for shipping and yet still manufacturing input prices are sticky- and due to a drop in the labour force participation rate - loads of boomer retiring and folk taking cover from mandates to be guinea pigs, wage price inflation remains a problem - so FED keeps rates higher for longer and recession keeps getting worse - very bad news for very overpriced markets - especially the big cap nasdaq, that are priced for perfection.
The price is increasing with low volumes Be careful
The oil prices shall not be impacted by US bank failure and other contry bank failure. These countries shall fix their own problem. Even if these banks collapsed, the world still need energy.
in a global depression, the world needs far less energy though - OPEC plus saw this coming so cut production and still the prices slid - china's reopening isn't working out as planned, partly because USA and Europe have maxed out their credit - and as much as they'd love to, they're struggling to buy any more stuff - especially non essential stuff to survive - wait till the US student loan debt moratorium ends in June - huge liquidity leaving the system to prop up the ailing and bankrupt US gov.
It's not a recession, it's just stagflation People are stupid... They don't know that Apple is negative growth
And tomorrow’s titel “ oil prices plunges as fear of recession increases “
Hahaha. Resession fears begin to fade?? Banks collapsing and government going bankrupt in us, china’s crashing hard, uk already crashed, eu to crash. In what parallel universe are recession fears fading?
Some countries have to fix their problems. Oil prices should not be imapcted by US economy failure.
  The world is not in recession but we traders are in recession and more than the traders their balance sheets are in recession :)))
 that is highly debateable - look at forward looking indicators rather than the backward looking ones - especially the cooked ones by say, the Bureau of Labor statistics. If you took a good hard look at the Baltic Dry Index - it's falling off a cliff - that's shipped good around the world - same as Dow Transports Index - it shows there's a huge slow down in goods being moved around - that's recession!!!!  US retail have dropped their orders massively as they have huge inventories that they're not clearing - if you look under the hood of the economy, you can see recession screaming everywhere
UCO UCO UCO
Which means I can start buying oil 🛢️ as a trader right?
Reuters loves fears - they will come back later today
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