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Oil rises on news EU may phase in a ban on Russian oil imports

Published 04/13/2022, 08:59 PM
Updated 04/14/2022, 03:21 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers walk as oil pumps are seen in the background in the Uzen oil and gas field in the Mangistau Region of Kazakhstan November 13, 2021. REUTERS/Pavel Mikheyev

By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON -Oil prices settled higher on Thursday after an early decline as investors covered short positions ahead of the long weekend and on news that the European Union might phase in a ban on Russian oil imports.

Brent futures settled up $2.92, or 2.68%, at $111.70 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures closed $2.70 or 2.59% higher at $106.95 a barrel.

Both contracts recorded their first weekly gain in April. For several weeks, prices have been the most volatile since June 2020.

The New York Times reported that the European Union was moving toward adopting a phased-in ban of Russian oil, to give Germany and other countries time to arrange alternative suppliers.

A phased-in ban would force European buyers "to seek alternative sources, some of which in the near term is being met by Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, but in the future, more supplies coming out of the ground will be required," Andrew Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston said.

The International Energy Agency had warned on Wednesday that roughly 3 million barrels per day of Russian oil could be shut in from May onwards due to sanctions or buyers voluntarily shunning Russian cargoes.

Major global trading houses are planning to curtail crude and fuel purchases from Russia's state-controlled oil companies in May, Reuters reported.

Russia's Energy Ministry said it was limiting access to its statistics on oil and gas production and exports.

Trade was going to continue to be "somewhat nervous" as the war between Russia and Ukraine continues and as countries weigh banning Russian supplies, Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said.

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"The big question is going to be, how many people are going to want to be short oil going into the long weekend?"

Traders also adjusted their position on Thursday as U.S. May crude options expire on Thursday.

U.S. oil production forecasts are being revised upwards despite labor and supply chain constraints as higher prices spur more drilling and well completion activity, according to industry experts.

U.S. oil rigs rose by two to 548 this week, their highest since April 2020, energy services firm Baker Hughes said in a report.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that U.S. oil stocks rose by more than 9 million barrels last week, driven partly by releases from strategic reserves. Analysts in a Reuters poll had anticipated just an 863,000-barrel build.

However, on the demand side, Chinese refiners are set to cut crude throughput this month by about 6%, a scale last seen in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic two years ago, to ease bulging fuel inventories during recent lockdowns, industry sources and analysts said.

Latest comments

OPEC+ commits economic warfare against global consumers all the time. US government should protect basic US production to minimize price/production impacts.
OPEC is a cartel that’s going to cause WWIII over energy prices. Their greed is bottomless.
don't forget Russia in OPEC+ in that case they can't provide more oil and they are providing their max and we still have some lockdown in china and the air traffic is not working like it used to be before COVID and they don't want to get oil from Russia so we will miss 5 million barrels and we need another 2 million for the airplane this summer season where do you think we will get those 7 million (there is no going down)
From Iran and KSA, OPEC+ cut 10Mbps from pre-Covid... and even then they weren't pumping in full capacity.. It might takes time to offset this ouflow, but its manageable, and these price levels doesn't encourage lotta demand from the consumers, so...
I think OPEC+ is pumping all they can right now. They havent even met their quota for production increases. There hasnt been much investment since oil price has been so low. There is no way to make up that amount of oil any time soon. EIA report shows there is still plenty of demand even at current prices. The market is going to have to get to a price that causes demand destruction or there wont be enough oil to go around.
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