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Oil dips 1% on US interest rate fears but OPEC+ cuts limit fall

Published 07/09/2023, 09:13 PM
Updated 07/10/2023, 03:01 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices eased 1% on Monday on the increasing likelihood of more U.S. interest rate hikes, but crude supply cuts from top oil exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia limited the losses.

Brent crude futures settled down 78 cents, or 1%, at $77.69 a barrel after touching their highest level in more than two months earlier in the session.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 87 cents, or 1.2%, at $72.99.

"Traders are very nervous about higher interest rates, which could kill demand very quickly," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial, adding that some investors were also engaging in profit-taking after last week's gains.

Both benchmarks rose more than 4.5% last week after Saudi Arabia and Russia announced fresh output cuts bringing total reductions by the OPEC+ group to around 5 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 5% of global oil demand.

San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday repeated that she believes two more rate hikes this year will likely be needed to bring down inflation that is still too high, while Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester also signaled more rate rises.

Higher interest rates could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

The U.S. Labor Department reported last Friday the smallest monthly job gain in 2-1/2 years along with strong wage growth. The data strengthened the likelihood that the Fed would raise interest rates at its meeting later this month.

Meanwhile, China's factory gate prices fell at the fastest pace in more than seven years in June, according to government data, indicating a slowdown in the recovery in the world's second-largest economy.

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However, oil demand from China and developing countries, combined with OPEC+ supply cuts, is likely to keep the market tight in the second half of the year despite a sluggish global economy, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said.

Markets are also focusing on the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index data, a key inflation report, and a slew of economic reports from China later this week to ascertain demand.

Latest comments

Oil will dip lower this week as Russian talks, behind the scenes of course, about a ceasefire. Yes China is the Broker.
Main reason for oil prices falling is recession coming. EV cars are just bogus fad. when economy turns bullish after recession coming, then oil prices will go higher.
About  15% of cars sold worldwide are EV or plug in hybrids and increasing each year, Gasoline use should drop 5-10%. Even if only 50% of cars produced are EV by 2030 Oil useage will decrease much more than any oil production cut by OPEC +
labor is too hot for Fed to pause. 2 or more hikes would bring recession. falling oil prices mean recession coming.
2 or more rate hikes on the way. recession?
Last week the PIA report had the supply down 9 million barrels which was a surprise. I hope the price holds or continues up...
Russia is lying through their theeth again!
"Russia will cut crude exports by 500,000 bpd. Instead of cutting output, Russia will be using the crude to produce more fuel to meet domestic demand, a government source told Reuters on Friday." so basically Russia is lying and to show itself friendly to Saudis but producing the same and probably exporting in on other or same channels as additional 500kbpd demand for domestic consumption is just not there out of the blue ofc... Russia is lying through their theeth again!
Oil will fail strong to 72.50
Oil prices will boost 75$.
China says …. Not buy oil if prices is 60 usd ….. inflation expensive
Oil will drop like a rock on Monday…. The Russians will announce that they are ready to talk of a ceasefire this week.
Ukraine will desperate and had insurrection too if cannot counter offensive.
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