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Gold prices dip below $2,000 as Fed jitters grow, M.East fears decline

Published 10/31/2023, 01:29 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com-- Gold prices fell below key levels on Tuesday as easing concerns over the Israel-Hamas war sapped safe haven demand, while anticipation of a Federal Reserve meeting kept traders biased towards the dollar.

While the Israel-Hamas war still showed no signs of de-escalation, traders began pricing in a lower risk premium from the conflict, given that no other Arab powers appeared to have joined in so far. This saw gold relinquish some gains made earlier in October, during the onset of the war. 

Strength in the dollar, before the Fed meeting, also weighed on the yellow metal, as traders pivoted into the greenback to position for any hawkish surprises from the meeting.

Spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,992.88 an ounce, while gold futures expiring in December sank 0.2% to $2,002 an ounce by 01:00 ET (05:00 GMT). 

Fed meeting squarely in focus, gold set for strong October

The yellow metal traded lower this week as market focus turned largely towards a Fed decision on interest rates this Wednesday. 

While the central bank is expected to keep its benchmark rate unchanged, it is also expected to reiterate its higher-for-longer stance on rates, given recent signs of sticky U.S. inflation and resilience in the economy.

Such a scenario is expected to limit any major upside for gold, given that higher rates push up the opportunity cost of buying bullion. This trend weighed heavily on gold over the past year, and kept any trysts with the $2,000 an ounce level largely limited. 

Still, safe haven demand on the back of the Israel-Hamas war saw gold prices trading up between 6% and 8% for October- their best monthly gain since March. The yellow metal was also up nearly 10% so far in 2023.

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Copper prices sink as China PMIs disappoint 

Among industrial metals, copper prices fell on Tuesday after disappointing economic data from top importer China.

Copper futures fell 0.5% to $3.6377 a pound.

Purchasing managers index data showed that Chinese manufacturing activity unexpectedly shrank in October, while the non-manufacturing sector grew at a slower-than-expected pace.

The readings highlighted that stimulus efforts from Beijing only provided limited support to the Chinese economy, and that other factors- particularly a real estate crisis and weak trade- were also dampening growth. 

This raised questions over just how strong copper demand will remain in the coming months. 

Latest comments

@Dawood: I agree, gold looks incredibly strong here. On the monthly if you get a close today above 2009.2, the 4 previous months of price action will solidly be taken out; that's incredibly strong momentum for October combined with strong volume. With that, the extension to take a run back to 2100 looks definitely doable.
You’re looks so greedy now
still strong at support, be ready to check 23 High
I expect gold may find $2,000 as a base value sooner than later
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