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Gold / Silver / Copper futures - weekly outlook: July 21 - 25

CommoditiesJul 20, 2014 01:30PM ET
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Gold ends the week with a loss of 0.9% with Fed rates, geopolitical concerns in focus - Gold futures declined on Friday, one day after rallying more than 1% on the back of mounting geopolitical concerns.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for August delivery slipped 0.57%, or $7.50, on Friday to end the week at $1,309.40 a troy ounce.

Gold rallied 1.32%, or $17.10, on Thursday to settle at $1,316.90 an ounce.

Gold prices were likely to find support at $1,292.60, the low from July 15 and resistance at $1,340.90, the high from July 14.

Gold spiked more than 1% on Thursday following the shooting down of a Malaysia Airlines jet in eastern Ukraine, with the U.S. blaming pro-Russian separatists for shooting down the aircraft, killing 298 aboard.

Moscow has denied involvement in the crash, which came a day after the U.S. announced a fresh round of sanctions against Russia for supporting separatists in east Ukraine.

Markets were also unsettled as Israel expanded its ground offensive in Gaza.

Gold is often seen as a haven investment in times of geopolitical uncertainty.

Despite Thursday’s strong gains, Comex gold declined 0.9%, or $11.90 an ounce, on the week after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen indicated that interest rates may rise sooner if the economy continues to improve.

In the week ahead, the U.S. is to release what will be closely watched data on consumer prices, home sales and manufacturing orders.

Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that hedge funds and money managers decreased their bullish bets in gold futures in the week ending July 15.

Net longs totaled 131,971 contracts, down 8.5% from net longs of 144,272 in the preceding week.

Also on the Comex, silver for September delivery slumped 1.17%, or 24.8 cents, on Friday to settle the week at $20.88 a troy ounce.

The September silver futures contract lost 2.7%, or 58.0 cents, on the week.

Data from the CFTC showed that net silver longs totaled 46,795 contracts as of last week, compared to net longs of 44,517 contracts in the preceding week.

Elsewhere in metals trading, copper for September delivery dropped 1.12%, or 3.6 cents, on Friday to settle at $3.184 a pound by close of trade. Prices hit $3.167 earlier in the day, the lowest since June 30.

On the week, Comex copper prices lost 2.6%, or 8.5 cents a pound as jitters over a possible bond default in China's construction sector weighed.

Northern Shanxi-based construction firm Huatong Road & Bridge Group warned earlier in the week that it may default on a 400 million yuan bond set to mature on July 23, triggering concerns over the near-term demand outlook in China.

Concerns over domestic bond defaults stoked investor worries that financing deals, which have locked up vast quantities of copper could unravel.

A cooler property sector not only weighs on demand for copper as construction material, but also dampens consumption from the home appliances sector.

China is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.

According to the CFTC, net copper longs totaled 48,994 contracts as of last week, compared to net longs of 38,367 contracts in the preceding week.

Gold / Silver / Copper futures - weekly outlook: July 21 - 25

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