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Yen Stays Pressured After BOJ Stands Pat, Dollar And Sterling Lack Follo

Published 06/16/2017, 05:00 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
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BoJ left monetary policies unchanged today as widely expected. Benchmark interest is kept at -0.1%. Meanwhile, under the yield curve control framework, the central bank continues to target 10 year JGB yield at around 0%. Annual pace of asset purchase is held at JPY 80T. Locally, BoJ noted that "private consumption has shown increased resilience against a background of steady improvement in the employment and income situation". Globally, BoJ said that overseas economies were "continuing to grow at a moderate pace as a whole". Overall tone in the central's statement was slightly more upbeat than the previous one.

The Japanese yen is trading as the weakest major currency for the week. It's partly due to talk of an exit in ultra-loose monetary policy globally. In particular, Fed maintained the forecast of a total of three hikes this year. Three BoE policy makers voted for a rate hike yesterday. Recovery in US treasury yield also lifted USD/JPY up. 10 year yield continues to try to draw support from 38.2% retracement of 1.336 to 2.621 at 2.130. It's still held below 2.229 resistance and maintains bearish outlook. But downside momentum is seen as diminishing as in daily MACD. The markets could finally make up their mind on reversal or not next week.

TNX

Both Dollar and Sterling firmed up mildly after respective central bank meeting. But they are overwhelmed by the strength in commodity currencies, in particular Canadian Dollar. Also it should be noted that both EUR/USD and EUR/GBP are holding above key near term support at 1.1109 and 0.8639 respectively. There is no confirmation of reversal in neither pair. Except versus the Japanese Yen, the Dollar and Sterling still have much to prove.

Talking about the Pound, the negotiation between UK and EU on Brexit is scheduled to start next Monday. It's reported that EU has already sent its positioning papers to London four days ago. And by now UK has yet to return an equivalent document. Prime Minister Theresa May's cabinet is still split over the approach on the negotiation, with grow voice to push for a softer Brexit.

On the data front, New Zealand business NZ manufacturing index rose to 58.5 in May. Eurozone May CPI final will be featured in European session. US housing starts and building permits, labor market conditions index, U of Michigan consumer sentiment will be featured.

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