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Weekly Outlook For The Dollar Index: October 30, 2012

Published 10/30/2012, 05:31 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
C
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B
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NOTE
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DAILY STRUCTURE
FXS1-13
30th October:

I remain bearish and actually feel we are very close to the Wave -a- high that should hold below the 41.4%-50% retracement at 80.37-74 with a focus around 80.47. Once complete we should then see losses in a new Wave -a- that I suspect will approach and perhaps marginally break the prior Wave -iv- low at 78.10. From there a correction in Wave -b- and then a final Wave -c- lower that I'll have to judge as we approach.

Only a break back above the 81.20 pivot resistance would put the downside under threat and could resurrect the uptrend.

INTRADAY STRUCTURE
FXS2-1330th October:
It appears we had seen an expanded flat in a daily Wave (b) to 78.93 and from there we are towards the final stages of a Wave (c) and actually in the Wave c of Wave v… The 58.6% projection in Wave v is at 80.41 and 66.7% at 80.51. (also note the 85.4% at 80.74) These match the 58.6%-50% retracement in daily Wave -x- and thus we should find a high in this broad area - I suspect the 80.41-50 area - to allow the larger decline to resume.

First drop should be into the span of Wave b of Wave v and second to around the Wave iv - potentially forming the Wave [i] of a new Wave -a- lower.

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