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US Manufacturing PMI: Lowest In 7 Months, Markets Tumble

Published 02/04/2014, 04:41 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
DJI
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US ISM MANUFACTURING: Actual 

Whilst the manufacturing sector is deemed to be expanding above 50, yesterday's number of 51.6 it is certainly not at the rate most would like to see. Prior to the release the manufacturing sector appeared to be within a healthy expansion phase only for it to be bought back into question with such a differential between actual and expected. Not only is it well below its own 3-period MA but the trend since September 2009 is also down overall. 

US Manufacturing

 

DIFFERENTIAL (Actual vs Expected) 

To put htis into perspective below is the differential between actual vs expected. A positive reading denotes the release was better than excpected, wheras a neagative reading denotes the release was worse than expected. The differential makes it a little easier to see why the market may have been caught by surprise. 

US Manufacturing


MONEY FLOW

Clearly a day of risk off as we see Bond Yields trade back to multi- month lows with the decline in equities continue to tumble. With Dow Jones and S&P500 back below the crucial support levels the equity markets are looking increasingly fragile... 

Chart3

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