UK Services Purchasing Manager Index is a stronger economic indicator, therefore I’d expect to see more market reaction if we get our tradable deviation. I’d use caution as always this week, but if we get a tradable release, I wouldn’t hesitate on taking a trade…
4:30am (NY Time) UK Services PMI Forecast 54.8 Previous 55.2
Deviation: 2.5 (BUY GBP 57.3 / SELL GBP 52.3)
The Services PMI is tradable with a minimum deviation of 2.5 between the forecast and the actual release. If we get at least 57.3 or better, we could see some demand in the GBP and we will consider BUYING GBP against weaker currencies. If we get a 52.3 or lower, GBP could weaken and we should look to SELL GBP against stronger currencies.
I’d recommend to use the Recommended Pairs from above as they are based on my CSM, which should provide the best combination of currency pairs to trade based on better/worse news… of course, you can also trade the default pair: GBP/USD.
Outlook Score
Outlook score is derived from market sentiment, focus, and economic indicators for the currency. It represents the long-term trend of the currency and its market perception. In short, a strong Outlook Score means more long-term demand for the currency, and a weak Outlook Score is the opposite.
DEFINITION
The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Services Purchasing Manager´s Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation´s currency. To produce the index, purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers, by virtue of their jobs, have early access to data about their company´s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance.