This morning, the S&P 500 Index e-mini futures (ES-U3) are trading higher by 8.00 points to 1589.50 per contract. It seems that the markets are catching a bid ahead of the opening bell as China stabilizes and U.S. bond yields pullback. Last night, the Chinese Shanghai Composite finished lower by 0.43 percent. Many traders are watching the large bottoming tail in the Shanghai Composite daily chart to lead to a near term bounce in the highly followed index.
The U.S. GDP rose by 1.8 percent according to the Commerce Department, economists expected an increase of 2.4 percent. Rarely will the GDP number have a major affect on the stock market. Interest rates on the 10-year U.S. Treasury are the real driving force behind stock prices at this time. Simply put, if yields decline stocks should rise and vice versa. The most important charts that any trader can follow right now are the iShares Barclays 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund (IEF), and the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas.Bond (ETF) (TLT).
Below you may find the video.