An upticking economy since late 2015 could easily be view as the 'Goldilocks' moment for the Fed to continue its domestic liftoff policy (chart). The delay of liftoff, a decision driven by international rather than domestic concerns, could easily lead to a lot of talk and little action.
Regardless of the Fed's rate decision in September, there'll be enormous pressure for them to ease when the global economy enters full-blown liquidation in 2017. The majority, whom thinks the Fed can 'fix' anything, does not care about the business cycle; business cycles do not exits because the economy can be easily controlled by central planning. The fact that history's panics and crisis from the failure of central planning does not influence their strong beliefs. This is why the majority becomes the bagholders of trend transitions common to panics and crises.
Headline: Fed will hike rates at ‘Goldilocks moment’ in September, Barclays (LON:BARC) economist says
Markets are betting the Federal Reserve leaves rates unchanged at its September meeting, but Barclays Investment Bank Economist Robert Martin believes policymakers will pull the trigger next month, taking advantage of a "Goldilocks moment."That is certainly a contrarian call. Market participants currently see just a 21 percent chance the Federal Open Market Committee will increase rates when it meets Sept. 20-21, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.