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Tesla Stock Set to Put the Pedal to the Metal as Price Cuts Begin to Bear Fruit

Published 09/07/2023, 06:34 AM
  • Tesla cuts car prices at the expense of margins
  • But, the EV maker's financial condition gives no cause for concern
  • The stock is currently recovering after the recent downtrend
  • Faced with underwhelming sales figures, particularly in the fiercely competitive Chinese market, Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) leadership sprung into action, escalating the price war.

    The Elon Musk-led company slashed the prices of the Model X and Model S in the US, along with the Model 3 in China.

    While the price cuts led the a margin shrinkage in Q2 earnings, the latest sales data for August indicate that this maneuver is starting to yield results, effectively putting the brakes on the stock price decline that lasted from mid-July to mid-August.

    From a fundamental perspective, the company appears to be in a strong position, particularly in terms of core revenue and net income ratios, which remain at relatively high levels.

    The upcoming months will be crucial in terms of sales data, and if positive demand momentum continues, we may witness another uptrend in the Tesla stock.

    There are also high expectations for the development of Full Self-Driving (FSD) software, which is ultimately expected to achieve fully autonomous driving.

    Tesla's Price Cuts Boost Demand

    The latest sales figures for August reveal that Tesla sold 84,500 cars in China, marking a 9.3% year-on-year improvement and a significant 30.9% increase over July for the Model 3 and Model Y.

    This indicates that the price cuts garnered the expected response and boosted demand.

    Throughout the second quarter, the company sold 466,000 vehicles, a substantial increase compared to the same period in 2022, when sales reached 254,700 units.

    The reduction in prices is affecting sales margins, which have already fallen to 17.8% in the first half of the year, down from 27.8% in the same period the previous year. This trend is likely to continue over the next six months.

    Concerns about margins are further heightened by the fact that the price of the Full Self-Driving (FSD) system has been reduced from $15,000 to $12,000.

    Such a significant price reduction raises questions about whether the next version of the system will bring the brand closer to achieving fully autonomous cars.

    Given these factors, the upcoming quarterly results will be of utmost importance as they will reveal the impact of the pricing strategy on the company's financials.

    Tesla's Strong Fundamentals

    When looking at Tesla's fundamentals, one notable aspect is its stable financial condition, evident in its high overall financial health index score.Tesla Financial Health

    Source: InvestingPro

    Q2 2023 earnings exceeded expectations, maintaining both revenue and net profits at impressive levels, notably pushing revenue figures to historic highs.Tesla Net Income

    Tesla Revenue

    Source: InvestingPro

    It's also worth highlighting Tesla's return on invested capital, which currently sits at 21%. This figure significantly surpasses the sector's average of 5% for higher-end goods.

    Tesla Return on Invested Capital

    Source: InvestingPro

    Tesla: Technical View

    As there was a noticeable recovery in the latter part of August, Tesla's stock price currently appears to be in a local consolidation phase. A breakout from this consolidation will likely determine the short-term direction of its movements.

    If the breakout occurs to the upside, it could pave the way for an attempt to reach this year's peak, which sits just below the psychological barrier of $300 per share.

    Tesla 5-Hour Chart

    Alternatively, a similar scenario could result in a retest of a critical support zone ranging from $210 to $220 per share. A robust response in demand within this range could suggest that buyers remain interested if such a retest happens.

    It's important to note that the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, scheduled for September 20, should be taken into consideration when analyzing the EV maker's stock price action.

    ***

    Find All the Info you Need on InvestingPro!

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Latest comments

good morning sir can you help me how to trending
Test drive a Tesla, its fun and its free.
I own a Tesla. First and last.
9.3% improvement year-on-year.
Most of Tesla's profit is made in China - most Tesla car sales in the USA / Europe they are actually making a loss on. With recent announcements by China vs Apple plus Chinese economy slowing down. Say much larger chance Tesla will be retesting $100 within the next 12 months. PE Ratio of 70 versus 10 with most other car manufacturers and 30 with most software companies. Add in the fact by 2025 Tesla will have lost a lot of its first mover advantage versus Ford / VW / Toyota etc who will be overtaking in annual sales and.....
it will happen before IMO, In this Q margin will be not good and most of TSLA holders are retail.. when the panic starts it will be very fast (like we saw in Dec 2022 to Jan 2023
Tesla has automobile Industry leading margins all their cars, not just China. Not sure where you got your misinformation. That would put in doubt the facts behind the rest of your thesis. Folks do your own research. Perhaps look up what car is currently not only the best selling car in the world, but also the safest to drive.
 Let me guess - you own Tesla shares? ;) FACT is Tesla was priced for perfection - it is now cutting profit margins to compete and looking at marketing for the first time as it losses market share in almost every region. All analysts are saying it will have lost its almost monopoly on the EV market it had only a few years ago as Ford / GM / Toyota / Renault have spent $$$$ to catch up and in many ways surpass Tesla. But do not worry - Musk will soon be selling AI Robots and bringing you to Mars on holiday ;)
deflation
C U around 90 in 6 months
If you really believe that I hope you have the conviction to put a massive short position out there! You'll be rich 🤑 dawg.
nobody is buying ev's except on the west coast. mkt is flooding with ev's. tesla's only option is to lower prices to drive volume because Elon knows his stock would olummet
lol.. the only people NOT buying EVs are folks who are bad at math or listening to too much FUD from legacy auto and BIG oil. Go ahead look it up Model Y is in the top 3 or 4 list of the best selling car of any kind in America, it is #1 in the world for that matter!
wait when u need to change your battery kkkk
ICE will be banned in the future. Youll be buying BEVs in the future whether you like it or not. Youll be the only gas guzzler in your circle wasting more money and time than everyone else to keep it running.
Damian. show me your dcf model.
LOL. TSLA has PE of 70, almost twice as overvalued as NVDA. Earnings are flat at best or even trend down because of price cuts. Lets face it, Tesla is not a growth company any more.
Not a growth company anymore? Gee when in the future did that happen? Last I checked they had record growth in production and revenue over the last dozen quarters.
How much are they making in profit per car sold?
Tesla was the second most profitable and the second to post the highest operating margin gain between 2021 and 2022. Tesla’s margin jumped from 12.1% in 2021 to 16.8% last year. #1 was Ferrari which doesn't really count since they serve a nitch market in the automotive industry.
How much of their income comes from government subsidies?
Basically a big frown which the author chooses to turn upside down.
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