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Tesla Stock Gets an Upgrade: The Week's 5 Biggest Analyst Calls

By Garrett CookStock MarketsFeb 05, 2023 07:19AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/tesla-stock-gets-an-upgrade-the-weeks-5-biggest-analyst-calls-200635020
Tesla Stock Gets an Upgrade: The Week's 5 Biggest Analyst Calls
By Garrett Cook   |  Feb 05, 2023 07:19AM ET
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Here are some of the biggest analyst headlines that InvestingPro subscribers got in real time this past week - including an upgrade for Tesla. Sign up for rapid-fire, comprehensive coverage of market-moving analyst calls.

Tesla stamped with Buy

The week began innocently enough, with a vanilla upgrade on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) out of reputable research firm Berenberg.

The firm raised Tesla to Buy while cutting their expected value of the equity to $200 per share, which comes out to a 19x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio on 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates, per the research note. As a reminder, Warren Buffett's teacher Ben Graham was an advocate of under 12 P/E being the time to get invested in a business (as opposed to trading its equity on a research firm's recommendations).

Tesla is in trouble. Elon Musk seems way over-extended to manage that kind of bandwidth requirement without extreme wear on his mind (his hardware, if you will), but I digress.

Shares of Tesla slid Monday prior to rebounding upward all week to end 6.7% higher, or at $189.98 as of Friday's regular session close.

(And a quick side note, since I mentioned Buffett and given that we are in a buying environment overall: Warren prefers to value a company without knowing its price so he is able to determine if the business is overvalued or undervalued. I'm just saying, he's not scalping headlines.)

Cushman & Wakefield cut to Peer Perform

On Tuesday Wolfe Research, which is respected across managers and traders for their precision analysis, downgraded Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE:CWK) to Peer Perform.

The firm pointed out many reasons to expect a lower valuation, however they specifically commented, "We believe the market will also focus on the composition of earnings."

As with an OnlyFans model, if you have just one single source of earnings power, that is an extreme investment risk. Once that avenue closes up for a company, what will be done to maintain outside investment appeal?

Maybe one ought not to manipulate arcane financial metrics used to prevent investors from working too hard to value a company? That is what Wolfe is wondering with CWK, evidenced by the supporting comment, "...We believe the stock may need unadjusted financial metrics (such as GAAP net income and operating cash flow) to improve."

Goldman assigns new analyst - and lower rating - to Hasbro

On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs assigned a new analyst to American toy makers, and I want to highlight the "downgrade" on Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS) - because while Goldman as the bank is upgrading Hasbro, the analyst is new. The analyst has a new world view, new stress metrics, and so on, so it is not what I would call a real downgrade.

The reality of the company's story has not changed. Goldman merely forced a new marriage between all of these companies - and a new analyst - which resulted in, obviously, a new outlook on the future reality of Hasbro. Much like a new relationship partner values the person differently from the prior partner.

The result of this was enjoyable to watch cycle across the hidden channels out here (Discord, Trillian, emails, Slack, Skype, WhatsApp, private chat rooms) as desperate scalp traders sent alerts to all the desks at the same time to "scalp" the speculative-trading upticks as the headlines hit.

This is extremely common practice and I do not participate in it. To the contrary, I fight it tooth and nail to set a new standard among event-driven information distributors through confirmation and clarity in a headline update at InvestingPro.

Trading isn't about execution on an asset based on technicals, it's about trading the equity on the privately traded intel being delayed to an increasingly larger audience over an increasingly tight period of time.

Hasbro ended the week up 5%, closing Friday's regular session at $61.73.

FedEx upped to Buy

On Thursday Citi upgraded FedEx (NYSE:FDX) to Buy in a great call on the transporter.

The investment bank noted management is taking action to make a material impact on costs as Wall Street analysts have lowered their estimates on FY 2023 and FY 2024 EPS by a substantial 30%-40%.

This specific commentary offered a great disconnect in the valuation which is at 12.6 P/E on 2024 estimates (recall my Buffett comment above).

BofA also upgraded the stock to Buy that same day.

The equity was strong all week and surged to Friday's close of $214.67 from just under $190 on Monday, to end the week up 14%.

Friday was rather uneventful when it came to analyst research volatility opportunities.

International Paper bumped up to Neutral

UBS upgraded International Paper (NYSE:IP) to Neutral.

It was not an exciting call.

The speed at which the headline was issued on InvestingPro first, before anyone, resulted in a high bidder surge. This annoyed some scalpers who couldn't get filled before the information was released premarket.

UBS said increasing confidence on market demand for paper, specifically during a demand trough, is enough to not be negative on the company.

IP shares closed Friday's session down 0.41% to $41.36. Earlier session highs off the open reached $41.80.

***

For real-time headlines on analyst upgrades, downgrades, price-target changes and comments, check out InvestingPro

Tesla Stock Gets an Upgrade: The Week's 5 Biggest Analyst Calls
 

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Tesla Stock Gets an Upgrade: The Week's 5 Biggest Analyst Calls

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Comments (6)
Thos Oz
Thos Oz Feb 05, 2023 8:05PM ET
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Another half baked, worthless, filler. Do some research, there is still NO competition for the weak little company that has dragged the huge, world wide auto industry, (screaming)  to EV manufacture. It is NOT even a car company. The fun is just beginning.
Rise Unlimited
Rise Unlimited Feb 05, 2023 4:45PM ET
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Ready to sell but want to get the most out of a buyer
Patti Beddingfield
Patti Beddingfield Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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The author of this article, is obviously a Elon/Tesla hater, or so it appears. Jmo. He is apparently looking at Tesla as “Only a car company”. This kind of thinking won’t age well. Call me a “Tesla fan girl” but taking all of Tesla’s enterprises in mind, it will blow these expectations out of the water, again jmo.
Uabir Uabir
Uabir Uabir Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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Tons of leftards don't like him.
Farah Kachermeyer
Farah Kachermeyer Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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Author completly misses that this the only car manufacturer offering car insurance. A lot if tesla owners insure their tesla, and non tesla through them. It’s revolutionary. No other car manufacturer has that added income.
Farah Kachermeyer
Farah Kachermeyer Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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By the way, i am also refered to as a leftard, and have been team Elon before he became the new messiah for the right. Just know the Right disliked him for creating EV vehicles and jumped onto bandwagon only when he started delusional covid talk. Rest of us have remained team Elon since Model S was just a concept.
Brad Albright
Brad Albright Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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Can somebody clarify: are the leftards to be admired or despised for the EV tax credits?
JIM VETTER
JIM VETTER Feb 05, 2023 11:32AM ET
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Brad.. you're always despised. See how easy that is?
Ashley Jennings
Ashley Jennings Feb 05, 2023 11:16AM ET
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emanual
محسن الشيحة
محسن الشيحة Feb 05, 2023 11:03AM ET
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👍👍👍
Peter ONeill
Peter ONeill Feb 05, 2023 8:24AM ET
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Tesla is overvalued and for risk / reward it is mental money. Musk will lie non stop to pump and dump. Plus companies such as Ford and GM are quickly scaling up to catch up (research by most industry experts saying they Tesla will be behind all major car manufactures in EV car sales numbers by 2025 as scaling up is still too slow - forcing Tesla to cut margins to compete). All of this propaganda by Musk talking about AI and Robotics is nothing more then snake oil to pump expectations higher but they have released nothing in 10+ years of promises in this space. I can see it falling back to pre covid levels if a recession hits / price sensitivity increases - so about $70 a share. Long term - ok option in portfolio. But not at these prices.
Peter ONeill
Peter ONeill Feb 05, 2023 8:24AM ET
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SB Gohner  Really????? As most industry experts say that by 2025 Tesla will be the smallest of all of the main EV Manufacturers as Ford / GM / VW are investing $100+ Billion in converting old sites into EV Manufacturing. It has started to lose market share in the USA already to Ford / GM and in China to Nio / BYD (why it had to cut price by $$$ to get competitive again). Its MAIN reason for having such a high EV is its disruptor / innovation potential in AI and Robotics - but it hasnt had a single major launch here in 10+ years.
 
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