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Stocks Trade Mixed, Commodities Slide On Chinese Slowdown Fears

Published 04/02/2012, 07:10 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
Equities

Asian markets started the week on a down note, despite Friday’s upbeat jobs data from the US, as Chinese trade deficit data pointed to a slowdown in China. The Nikkei slid .4% to 9890, the Kospi skidded .8% to 2003, and the ASX 200 declined .4%. In China, the Shanghai Composite eased .2%, while the Hang Seng rose .2% to 21134, as China Mobile rallied 3.9% due to an upgrade by HSBC.

European markets managed slight gains with the CAC40 and FTSE edging up nearly .1% and the DAX rising .3%. Spain’s IBEX dropped 1.2% as investors dumped Spanish banks on debt concerns.

In the US, stocks closed mixed, while the VIX tumbled 8.6% to 15.64 indicating a sharp drop in investor anxiety. The Dow added 38 points to 12960, the S&P traded flat, and the Nasdaq slipped .2%.
CBOE MKT VOLATILITY IDX
VIX Drops More Than 8%

Tranzyme Pharma tumbled 43% after reporting that a recent trial of its GI drug was a failure.

Currencies

The Dollar traded mixed on Monday. The euro and Swiss franc both gained .2%, while the pound fell .2% to 1.5638. The Australian dollar dropped .6% to 1.0512 as metals fell. The Canadian dollar declined .2% to .9930, while the yen rose .2% to 82.30.

Economic Outlook

On Tuesday, retail sales data is due in the morning, and the Fed will issue its rate decision and a statement in the afternoon. The Fed’s recent commitment not to raise rates for 2 years minimizes the impact of the rate decision, but the statement could be significant.

Global Equities Rally on Solid Economic Data

Equities

Asian markets advanced on Tuesday. The Kospi rallied 1.1% to 2025, the ASX climbed 1.2% to 4248, and the Hang Seng tacked on 1% to 21340. China’s Shanghai Composite rose .9%, as rumors of a fuel price hike lifted energy shares. Japan lagged behind, inching up just .1% to 9899, after the Bank of Japan opted to not introduce another round of easing at this point.

In Europe, shares rallied, as upbeat economic data from Germany and the US lifted investor confidence. The CAC40 surged 1.7%, the DAX jumped 1.4%, and the FTSE advanced 1.1%. Banking shares bounced 3.3% as financials led the gains.

The rally continued in the US, where the Dow blasted past the 13000 level, to 13178, up 218 points. The S&P 500 rallied 1.8%, and the Nasdaq soared 1.9% to 3040, its first close above 3000 since 2000. The VIX tumbled 5.4% to 14.80, its lowest level since 2007.
DOW JONES INDU AVERAGE INDEX
Dow Rallies 218 Points

The Fed left rates steady, and failed to announce any new economic policies, but acknowledged that the economy is improving.

Currencies

The US dollar settled mixed against global currencies, as investors digested the latest round of global economic data. The Swiss franc and yen both fell .7% to 1.0834 and 82.94 respectively, while the euro dropped .5% to 1.3086. The pound climbed .5% to 1.5710, the Australian dollar rose .3% to 1.0550, and the Canadian dollar gained .4% to .9883.

Economic Outlook

The German ZEW economic sentiment index hit a one-year high, spiking to 22.3 and blowing past analyst estimates of 10.6. In the US, retail sales rose .9% last month, slightly better than forecast, although the TIPP economic optimism index fell to 47.5 from 49.4.

Bonds Tumble, Commodities Slide As Dollar Gains

Equities

Most Asian markets rallied for a second day on Wednesday as the Fed’s stress test list indicated that most US banks are in healthy shape. The Nikkei advanced 1.5% to 10051, its highest close since July, the Kospi gained 1% to 2045, and the ASX 200 rose .9%. In contrast, the Shanghai Composite tumbled 2.6% after the government dismissed the possibility of an easing in property restrictions. Property shares fell 3.7% on the news. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng closed down .2%.

European markets closed mixed as well. The DAX rallied 1.2%, the CAC40 added .4%, while the FTSE slipped .2%. Banking shares climbed as investors cheered the stress test news, with the sector gaining 1.5%.

Back in the US, stocks closed little changed after Wednesday’s spike. The Dow rose 16 points to 13195, the S&P 500 eased .1%, and the Nasdaq closed flat.

Currencies

The US dollar rallied in the currency markets on Wednesday. The Australian dollar dropped .8% to 1.0450, as the slide in metals weighed heavily on the commodity currency. The euro shed .4% to 1.3030, the Swiss franc skidded .7% to 1.0748, and the pound eased .2% to 1.5677. The yen continued to fall, sliding .7% to 83.6925.

Economic Outlook

Import prices rose .4%, less than expected, while the US current account deficit surged to $124 billion, a 3-year high.

US Stocks Climb on Solid Data, S&P Crosses 1400 Mark

Equities

Asian markets traded mixed on Thursday. The Nikkei rose .7% to 10123 a 7-month high, as a drop in the yen lifted exporters, with Mazda up 6.1%, Honda up 3.5%, and Canon up 3.7%. Korea’s Kospi eased fractionally, and the ASX 200 declined .2% as miners weighed on the index. In greater China, the Shanghai Composite declined .7% to 2374, extending Wednesday’s sharp 2.6% drop, while the Hang Seng edged up .2%.

In Europe, stocks closed mostly higher, as the DAX climbed .9%, and the CAC40 advanced .4%. The FTSE trailed behind, slipping .1%.

US indexes advanced, with the S&P 500 crossing the 1400 mark for the first time since 2008. The Dow tacked on 59 points to 13253, the Nasdaq rose .5%, and the S&P 500 gained .6% to 1403.
S&P 500 INDEX
Recent Stock Market Rally Pushes S&P 500 Above 1400

Bank shares continued to rally, with Bank of America up 4.5%, and Citigroup up 3%.

Currencies

Foreign currencies climbed against the US dollar after yesterday’s rout. The euro rose .4% to 1.3080, and the pound gained .3% to 1.5714. The Swiss franc and Australian dollar both rallied .8%, and the yen rose .2% to 83.55, reversing from an earlier drop down to 84.17.

Economic Outlook

Thursday’s economic reports were quite upbeat. Weekly unemployment claims dropped to 351K, 14K better than last week, and better than forecast. PPI rose .4%, less than expected, and both the Empire State manufacturing index, and the Philly Fed index exceeded analyst forecasts.

Stocks Mixed On Disappointing US Data

Equities

Asian markets traded mixed on Friday. The Nikkei managed to stretch its winning streak to 4, inching up .1% to 10130, and the Shanghai Composite climbed 1.3% to 2405. Amongst the losers, the Kospi slid .5% to 2034, the ASX 200 closed down fractionally, and the Hang Seng declined .2% to 21318.

In Europe, stocks gained, led by insurance companies, which advanced 2% after gaining concessions in the latest EU capital requirements. The FTSE and CAC40 climbed .4%, and the DAX rose .2%.

The major US indexes closed mixed in narrow trading. The Dow declined 20 points to 13234, ending a 7-day winning streak, the S&P 500 rose .1%, to 1404 and the Nadaq eased 1 point to 3055. The VIX dropped 6.2% to 14.47, and touched a 5-year low of 13.76 earlier in the day.

Research in Motion jumped 6.9% on rumors of a potential investment by Samsung in the company.

Bank of America jumped 6.1% to 9.80, as the recent rally in the stock continued.
BANK OF AMERICA CORP
Currencies

The dollar tanked on Friday, pressured by disappointing US economic data. The Australian dollar surged 1.4% to 1.0594, while the euro and pound rallied 1.1% to 1.3176 and 1.5838, respectively. The yen rose .2% to 83.45, and the Canadian dollar settled flat at .9921.

Economic Outlook

Friday’s economic data was universally weak. CPI data was in line with estimates, rising at .4%, although Core CPI rose just .1%, less than expected. Consumer Sentiment unexpectedly declined last month, slipping to 74.3 from 75.3. Industrial Production was flat, significantly weaker than last month’s .4% growth.

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