Tuesday was another bullish day for stocks, that was aided by a massive $5.3 billion to buy on the closing cross. It sent the index sharply higher in those final minutes. Still, one has to wonder what the trend will be as we enter the second half of the year. As of today, the downtrend from the early June highs is still in place. Also, the RSI is pointing lower. We need to see the S&P 500 break above the downtrend and resistance at 3,115, to get a push higher. For now, that will be the most critical level to watch for the index.
From another viewpoint, the chart I pieced together over the weekend, the one with the descending triangle. It is still in play, so the rest of this week could be interesting. I’m not quite sure how it will play out at this point.
It seems we are crossroads for the S&P 500, break above 3115, and we likely rocket back to the June highs. Fall below 2990, and we return to May lows. It seems fitting that we get all this critical economic data this week.
Let us hope it goes better than Chicago PMI did today; it was a horrid 36.6, which was worse than expected for 44.5. If the ISM comes that weak tomorrow it will not be a good day for stocks. Expectations are for 49 on tomorrow’s ISM manufacturing report.
Gold
Gold had a good day and is on the verge of a massive break out, which could send it back to its all-time highs, around over $1900.
Zoom
Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM) continues to look reasonably weak here. It did rebound some, but I’m not a fan, and the rising wedge is the prominent force with a decline to $225 still on the horizon.
Freeport
Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold (NYSE:FCX) may still have some further to rise, especially with the surge in copper price. There is a gap to fill around $12.05.
Intel
Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) is testing resistance at $59.75, with the potential for shares to push higher to $64.