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S&P 500 Steady but Nasdaq Breadth Weakness a Worry; Russell 2000 Tests Key Support

Published 02/07/2024, 03:04 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

A bit of a non-event for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq as both indexes closed with tight doji near their highs. There isn't a whole lot more to add for these indexes.COMPQ-Daily Chart

SPX-Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (IWM managed to deliver a little more upside with a successful test of its 50-day MA. However, the volume was well down on what I would like to see for a successful support test.IWM-Daily Chart

I follow J.C. Parets and he has noted the breadth weakness in this rally.

This is apparent in the Percentage of (Nasdaq) Stocks above the 50-day MA, 200-day MA, Bullish Percents Index, and Summation Index, all of which are showing a bearish divergence.

NASI-Daily Chart

Given the breadth picture (in the Nasdaq), the expectation is that tight trading will eventually give way to selling, or catch bulls off guard with a 'bull trap'. I would expect this selling to spill across indexes, but let's see what the market brings.

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Excellent
Good Observation! Just my gut talking, but we need a little selling before the CPI data next week. Inflation slightly down for January. We'll have some room to rally.
I appreciate your outlook and apparently it appears as explained. 👍👍
Cv
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