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S&P 500, Russell 2000 Fend Off Selling Pressure; Nasdaq Nears Buying Zone

Published 01/05/2024, 01:48 AM

The Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&P 500 ($SPX) both finished near their respective 20-day MAs yesterday, which registered as test fails, but not enough to suggest a recovery isn't possible today.

The Russell 2000 does have the August swing high to lean on should it need it. Also, the closure of the December gap can be one to spark a recovery.

IWM-Daily Chart

The S&P 500 lost ground against its 20-day MA similar to the Russell 2000 but the spike high into the 20-day MA suggests that there is more supply there than today's action was able to consume.

Let's see what today brings, but the expectation is for more selling.

SPX-Daily Chart

The Nasdaq was not so lucky having previously lost support of its 20-day MA a day earlier. There is trading range support from November to lean on which could be worth looking at as a buying opportunity.

COMPQ-Daily Chart

While indexes have failed support at their 20-day MAs and finished where they opened, there wasn't any significant loss beyond opening levels. I would be watching for gaps higher today.

As an aside, it has been a bad last few days of my Topstep trading experiment.

I have been trying to catch a knife on finding the lows for a bounce (not good) and have been whipsawed by the tight stops leading into my daily loss limit. Trying to trade futures in the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 was too much.NQ-CME Chart

Latest comments

Hello, congratulations on the good analysis! According to data from Barchart, I continue to think that after the reports for the past year of the trading companies as of February 15, 2024, it is very likely that we will have a new peak or close to the last one slightly above 5000 points of the SP500 index - this is from the extracted past futures trades before the current March futures. Now the question is how far will this current decline in the index go? In my opinion, your scenarios are also possible, from which the points will rise much faster if he decides to stop the decline at 4660-4640 points or a little lower to below 4600 points, where the December consolidation was among the growth from October 2023. I think that this decline will mark a short-term bottom today or on Monday around the gamma levels will mark a short correction of the current decline before falling again for a new one maybe coming to make a rally maybe the good annual results from the reports.
Basically ignore all of the other crosses and focus on the golden cross on iwm and golden… yeah ok
I could def see more panic selling iver the economy being to strong Its a played out theme at this point that losses
u are right
Appreciate your update always.. thanks 👍
Buying zone 🤣🤣
When you are not sure, you said a lot😏
who sure in markets?
Good
this idios hit again lool
hello
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