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S&P 500: Buying Monday's Breakout Was a Mistake

Published 02/01/2024, 02:02 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The S&P 500 corrected 1.6% on Wednesday.

S&P 500 Index-Daily Chart

It was a perfect storm between “disappointing” earnings from big techs and Powell telling investors the Fed doesn’t have plans to cut rates in March.

None of these things were bad; in fact, Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) earnings were actually good.

Unfortunately, stocks have gotten so expensive that good is no longer good enough, and anything short of great leads to disappointment.

As I wrote Monday, I bought the 4,900 breakout, so this wave of selling wasn’t great for my position. Luckily, I bought it early Monday and had a nice profit cushion protecting my backside. As I wrote readers Monday evening:

I have no idea how long this rally will last, but given Monday afternoon’s nice gains, my stops have already been lifted to my entry points, turning this into a low-risk trade.

If this turns out to be a climax top and prices crash next week, no big deal. I pull the plug at my stops and follow the market in the other direction. But until that actually happens, I’m riding Monday’s wave higher.

Sure, I will be the first to admit buying Monday’s breakout was a mistake. But since I entered that trade early and lifted my stops to my entry points, this mistake didn’t cost me anything.

It’s like a free lottery ticket. If it works, great. If it doesn’t, no big deal, I get out near breakeven and try again next time.

If a person can’t handle being wrong, this is definitely the wrong game to be playing. For the rest of us, we come at this with a proactive trading plan that protects us when things don’t work out.

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And to be honest, I don’t even like calling Monday’s buy a mistake because it was a good trade, and I’d do it again every chance I get. Sure, it didn’t work this time. But do it often enough, and several of those trades will bring in nice profits.

Coincidentally enough, this is exactly what I did at the 4,400, 4,600, and 4,800 breakouts. Batting 0.750 isn’t bad. If that’s what being wrong looks like, I’m happy to be wrong.

Latest comments

lol
The guy just writes articles telling people how great a trader he is. Never posting his real trades, just finding excuses days after trades supposedly been made. Don't take him too seriously.
I've never read a article from him that he lost money. his timing to get in a position is always enough too get our without a loss, I've been following a year or more. plus no one knows what he was trading. or percentage gains. he never talks charts. he is of no help and I only follow now for amusement
Same here and I have been saying this for last 1 years..
huahahahaha The guy with cristal ball. This article will grow older fast.
Buy DAL, WMT and POWW. Semper Fi
Thanks for your reports. How do you manage the stops/ cero loss if market opens with gap? Regards
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