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Snap: Next Stop, The Teens

Published 03/13/2017, 10:30 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
SNAP
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I’m a chartist, so I don’t normally make a habit of shorting stocks that have just a few days of historical data. I made an exception for Snap (NYSE:SNAP), however, since everything -- everything!! -- about this company screams “ridiculous overvalued bubble”, including, but not limited to, Evan Spiegel’s smug little cleft-chinned face on every magazine cover including, importantly, Time:

Time Magazine, March 13, 2017

I’m a pretty big believer in the “Cover Curse”, but that normally applies to such business magazines as Forbes, where public stocks tend to be the dominant topic of conversation:

Forbes Magazine, October 4, 2016

(I’ll note, regarding the above cover, that the stock immediately reversed the moment the issue hit and this “sexiest stock” fell from $70.96 to $25.98, making it just about as “sexy” as the egg-shaped bald dude shown therein).

But if Forbes is a bad cover curse, Time is far, far worse.

Snap, weirdly, holds itself out as a “camera company”, which is strange since it's actually a company that gives away an app for snapping disappearing pics. But it also occurred to me that there was another “camera” company that was red-hot and crazy-popular, just like Evan’s little outfit. Consider the following:

Polaroid's Performance

My conclusion? I think Snap’s performance so far is a good indication of what’s to come.

Next stop: the teens.


Snap's Performance To Date

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