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Here is a look at two key numbers in the June monthly employment report for May Average Hourly Earnings and Average Weekly Hours. The government has been tracking the data for Production and...
The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is at 130.9, up slightly from last week's 130.7. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) dropped to 6.3% from 6.5%...
China's interbank rates spiked unexpectedly last week, as the SHIBOR curve (China's LIBOR equivalent) became highly inverted. Given that there have been no indications of a change in policy by the...
Much has been made of the declining labor participation rate in the U.S. What is not always made clear however, is that about half of those declines is simply the result of an aging population....
Note from dshort: I've update the charts in this commentary to include the latest monthly data. My monthly market valuation updates have long had the same conclusion: US stock indexes are...
PrevInvest, in its May 2013 Investment Themes, provides a discussion of why long/short equity, also known as “equity hedged,” has experienced poor performance against market benchmarks...
Monday will not only be an interesting day as to see what Apple® is going to roll out at its annual 0608-appleWorld Wide Developer’s Conference (WWDC). It could be one of the most...
Last week was an interesting week. Considerable volatility in the foreign exchange markets (the dollar fell 5.5 handles from 105.50 yen to 95 yen before bouncing to 97.5 yen at week’s end) and a...
Markets had a rollercoaster ride last week, as expectations on the timing of Fed's tapering of the asset purchase program flip-flopped on mixed U.S. economic data. The DOW dived as low as 14844 on...
Employment increased more than forecast in May and the jobless rate climbed from a four-year low as more Americans entered the labor force, showing the world’s largest economy weathered the...
The US labor market continued its gradual improvement in May. The economy added 175,000 new payroll jobs, somewhat more than in March and April, as shown in the following chart. Payroll job growth was...
(from my colleagues Dr. Win Thin and Ilan Solot) This is what has changed in the EM space in, our view. 1) Brazil is stepping up its defences against market volatility. 2) Signs that China is looking...
If you slept through this week, it would appear to be relatively uneventful. Nothing could be further from the truth.Energies and non Dollar Currencies performed well and the Equity markets were up...
Goldilocks is back in the house – or so the markets thought on Friday, when another mild beat (10,000) of the consensus set traders off on another delirious rise that included a little...